Does corn market uncertainty impact the US ethanol prices?

Autor: Anupam Dutta, Elie Bouri, Juha-Pekka Junttila, Gazi Salah Uddin
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: Global Change Biology Bioenergy. 10(9):683-693
ISSN: 1757-1693
Popis: The growing interest in biofuel as a green energy source has intensified the linkages between corn and ethanol markets, especially in the United States that represents the largest producing and exporting country for ethanol in the world. In this study, we examine the effect of corn market uncertainty on the price changes of US ethanol applying a set of GARCH-jump models. We find that the US ethanol price changes react positively to the corn market volatility shocks after controlling for the effect of oil price uncertainty. In addition, we document that the impact of corn price volatility on the US ethanol prices appears to be asymmetric. Specifically, only the positive corn market volatility shocks are found to influence the ethanol market returns. Our findings also suggest that time-varying jumps do exist in the ethanol market. Funding Agencies|Jan Wallanders och Tom Hedelius Stiftelse samt Tore Browaldhs Stiftelse
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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