Climate change impact on the potential geographical distribution of two invading Xylosandrus ambrosia beetles
| Autor: | Alain Roques, Carole Kerdelhué, Marie-Anne Auger-Rozenberg, T. Urvois, Jean-Pierre Rossi |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Unité de recherche Zoologie Forestière (URZF), Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Centre de Biologie pour la Gestion des Populations (UMR CBGP), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [France-Sud])-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro - Montpellier SupAgro, Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro), This work was supported by the LIFE project SAMFIX (SAving Mediterranean Forests from Invasions of Xylosandrus beetles and associated pathogenic fungi, LIFE17 NAT/IT/000609, https ://www.lifesamfix .eu/) which received funding from the European Union’s LIFE Nature and Biodiversity programme., Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [France-Sud])-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro), Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
0106 biological sciences
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences Science [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] Climate Change Climate change Distribution (economics) 010603 evolutionary biology 01 natural sciences Models Biological Article Mediterranean sea Ambrosia Animals 14. Life underwater Ecosystem 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Multidisciplinary Invasive species business.industry Xylosandrus compactus Ecology Climate-change ecology Representative Concentration Pathways Coleoptera Europe Geography Biogeography 13. Climate action General Circulation Model Medicine Risk prevention business Introduced Species Entomology |
| Zdroj: | Scientific Reports Scientific Reports, 2021, 11, pp.1339. ⟨10.1038/s41598-020-80157-9⟩ Scientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021) Scientific Reports, Nature Publishing Group, 2021, 11, pp.1339. ⟨10.1038/s41598-020-80157-9⟩ |
| ISSN: | 2045-2322 |
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-020-80157-9⟩ |
| Popis: | Xylosandrus compactus and X. crassiusculus are two polyphagous ambrosia beetles originating from Asia and invasive in circumtropical regions worldwide. Both species were recently reported in Italy and further invaded several other European countries in the following years. We used the MaxEnt algorithm to estimate the suitable areas worldwide for both species under the current climate. We also made future projections for years 2050 and 2070 using 11 different General Circulation Models, for 4 Representative Concentration Pathways (2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5). Our analyses showed that X. compactus has not been reported in all potentially suitable areas yet. Its current distribution in Europe is localised, whereas our results predicted that most of the periphery of the Mediterranean Sea and most of the Atlantic coast of France could be suitable. Outside Europe, our results also predicted Central America, all islands in Southeast Asia and some Oceanian coasts as suitable. Even though our results when modelling its potential distribution under future climates were more variable, the models predicted an increase in suitability poleward and more uncertainty in the circumtropical regions. For X. crassiusculus, the same method only yielded poor results, and the models thus could not be used for predictions. We discuss here these results and propose advice about risk prevention and invasion management of both species. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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