Tax Arrears Versus Financial Ratios in Bankruptcy Prediction

Autor: Art Andresson, Oliver Lukason
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Risk and Financial Management
Volume 12
Issue 4
ISSN: 1911-8074
DOI: 10.3390/jrfm12040187
Popis: This paper aims to compare the usefulness of tax arrears and financial ratios in bankruptcy prediction. The analysis is based on the whole population of Estonian bankrupted and survived SMEs from 2013 to 2017. Logistic regression and multilayer perceptron are used as the prediction methods. The results indicate that closer to bankruptcy, tax arrears&rsquo
information yields a higher prediction accuracy than financial ratios. A combined model of tax arrears and financial ratios is more useful than the individual models. The results enable us to outline several theoretical and practical implications.
Databáze: OpenAIRE