A multicriteria risk analysis to evaluate impacts of forest management alternatives on forest health in Europe
| Autor: | Bruce C. Nicoll, Sigrid Netherer, Bo Långström, Philipp Duncker, Karl Tojic, Mart-Jan Schelhaas, Francisco Moreira, Manuela Branco, Hervé Jactel, Christophe Orazio, Dominique Piou, Wojciech Grodzki, Barry Gardiner |
|---|---|
| Přispěvatelé: | Biodiversité, Gènes & Communautés (BioGeCo), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université de Bordeaux (UB), Centro de Estudos Florestais, Instituto Superior de Agronomia, Institute for Forest Growth, Forest Research, Northern Research Station, Department of Forest Management in Mountain Regions, Forest Research Institute, Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Universidade Nova de Lisboa = NOVA University Lisbon (NOVA), Universität für Bodenkultur Wien [Vienne, Autriche] (BOKU), Unité de recherches forestières (BORDX PIERR UR ), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), Département Santé des Forêts, Ministère de l'Agriculture et de la Pêche, Centre for Ecosystem Studies, University of Freiburg [Freiburg] |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2012 |
| Předmět: |
0106 biological sciences
biotic 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] Biome Bos- en Landschapsecologie stand management CE - Forest Ecosystems drought 01 natural sciences facteur biotique promethee method Forest and Landscape Ecology Biology (General) Silviculture QH540-549.5 Biomass (ecology) Wood production biology facteur abiotique Ecology Agroforestry silviculture dégât en forêt Hazard Risk analysis (engineering) santé des forêts climate-change MCRA Vegetatie Bos- en Landschapsecologie abiotic damage hazard europe analyse de risque Risk analysis QH301-705.5 Forest management 010603 evolutionary biology Vegetatie 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Vegetation model decision-making 15. Life on land biology.organism_classification sylviculture populations analyse multicritère 13. Climate action strong winds Environmental science Pinus pinaster insect adaptation au changement climatique Vegetation Forest and Landscape Ecology gestion forestière |
| Zdroj: | Ecology and Society Ecology and Society, Resilience Alliance, 2012, 17 (4), 25 p. ⟨10.5751/ES-04897-170452⟩ Ecology and Society, Vol 17, Iss 4, p 52 (2012) Ecology and Society 17 (2012) 4 Ecology and Society, 17(4) Ecology and Society 4 (17), 25 p.. (2012) |
| ISSN: | 1708-3087 |
| DOI: | 10.5751/ES-04897-170452⟩ |
| Popis: | International audience; Due to climate change, forests are likely to face new hazards, which may require adaptation of our existing silvicultural practices. However, it is difficult to imagine a forest management approach that can simultaneously minimize all risks of damage. Multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) has been developed to help decision makers choose between actions that require reaching a compromise among criteria of different weights. We adapted this method and produced a multicriteria risk analysis (MCRA) to compare the risk of damage associated with various forest management systems with a range of management intensity. The objective was to evaluate the effect of four forest management alternatives (FMAs) (i.e., close to nature, extensive management with combined objectives, intensive even-aged plantations, and short-rotation forestry for biomass production) on biotic and abiotic risks of damage in eight regional case studies combining three forest biomes (Boreal, Continental, Atlantic) and five tree species ( Eucalyptus globulus, Pinus pinaster, Pinus sylvestris, Picea sitchensis, and Picea abies) relevant to wood production in Europe. Specific forest susceptibility to a series of abiotic (wind, fire, and snow) and biotic (insect pests, pathogenic fungi, and mammal herbivores) hazards were defined by expert panels and subsequently weighted by corresponding likelihood. The PROMETHEE ranking method was applied to rank the FMAs from the most to the least at risk. Overall, risk was lower in short-rotation forests designed to produce wood biomass, because of the reduced stand susceptibility to the most damaging hazards. At the opposite end of the management intensity gradient, close-to-nature systems also had low overall risk, due to lower stand value exposed to damage. Intensive even-aged forestry appeared to be subject to the greatest risk, irrespective of tree species and bioclimatic zone. These results seem to be robust as no significant differences in relative ranking of the four FMAs were detected between the combinations of forest biomes and tree species. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|