Predicting ground motion from induced earthquakes in geothermal areas

Autor: Vincenzo Convertito, Banu Mena Cabrera, Benjamin Edwards, Dirk Kraaijpoel, Nitin Sharma, N. Maercklin, Claudia Troise, Anna Tramelli, John Douglas
Přispěvatelé: Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières (BRGM) (BRGM), Institute of Geophysics [ETH Zürich], Department of Earth Sciences [Swiss Federal Institute of Technology - ETH Zürich] (D-ERDW), Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich] (ETH Zürich)- Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich] (ETH Zürich), Osservatorio Vesuviano, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Napoli (INGV), Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Dipartimentio di Scienze Fisiche, Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II, Seismology Division, Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut, Department of Physics, Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II-RISSC-Lab, GEISER, European Project: 241321,EC:FP7:ENERGY,FP7-ENERGY-2009-1,GEISER(2010), University of Naples Federico II = Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II, RISSC-Lab-University of Naples Federico II = Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Engineering
Peak ground acceleration
Geothermal power
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Stochastic modelling
[SDU.STU.GP]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph]
[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes
Magnitude (mathematics)
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph]
Induced seismicity
010502 geochemistry & geophysics
seismic hazard analysis
01 natural sciences
Standard deviation
Physics::Geophysics
geothermal power production
Geochemistry and Petrology
Geothermal gradient
induced seismicity
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
enhanced geothermal systems
business.industry
earthquake ground motions
Geophysics
Seismic hazard
ground-motion prediction equations
13. Climate action
ground-motion models
business
Seismology
Zdroj: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Seismological Society of America, 2013, 103 (3), pp.1875-1897. ⟨10.1785/0120120197⟩
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2013, 103 (3), pp.1875-1897. ⟨10.1785/0120120197⟩
ISSN: 0037-1106
DOI: 10.1785/0120120197⟩
Popis: Induced seismicity from anthropogenic sources can be a significant nuisance to a local population and in extreme cases lead to damage to vulnerable structures. One type of induced seismicity of particular recent concern, which, in some cases, can limit development of a potentially important clean energy source, is that associated with geothermal power production. A key requirement for the accurate assessment of seismic hazard (and risk) is a ground-motion prediction equation (GMPE) that predicts the level of earthquake shaking (in terms of, for example, peak ground acceleration) of an earthquake of a certain magnitude at a particular distance. Few such models currently exist in regard to geothermal-related seismicity, and consequently the evaluation of seismic hazard in the vicinity of geothermal power plants is associated with high uncertainty. Various ground-motion datasets of induced and natural seismicity (from Basel, Geysers, Hengill, Roswinkel, Soultz, and Voerendaal) were compiled and processed, and moment magnitudes for all events were recomputed homogeneously. These data are used to show that ground motions from induced and natural earthquakes cannot be statistically distinguished. Empirical GMPEs are derived from these data; and, although they have similar characteristics to recent GMPEs for natural and miningrelated seismicity, the standard deviations are higher. To account for epistemic uncertainties, stochastic models subsequently are developed based on a single corner frequency and with parameters constrained by the available data. Predicted ground motions from these models are fitted with functional forms to obtain easy-to-use GMPEs. These are associated with standard deviations derived from the empirical data to characterize aleatory variability. As an example, we demonstrate the potential use of these models using data from Campi Flegrei. Online Material: Sets of coefficients and standard deviations for various groundmotion models.
Databáze: OpenAIRE