External validation of EORTC risk scores to predict recurrence after transurethral resection of brazilian patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer stages Ta and T1
Autor: | Wilson F. S. Busato Jr., Carmen Australia Paredes Marcondes Ribas, Ottavio De Cobelli, Jurandir Marcondes Ribas-Filho, Gilberto L. Almeida |
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Rok vydání: | 2016 |
Předmět: |
Male
medicine.medical_specialty Time Factors Urology Urinary Bladder Population 030232 urology & nephrology lcsh:RC870-923 Risk Assessment Resection 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Predictive Value of Tests Risk Factors Recurrence Humans Medicine Neoplasm Invasiveness Prospective Studies education Grading (tumors) Aged Neoplasm Staging Aged 80 and over education.field_of_study Framingham Risk Score Bladder cancer business.industry Carcinoma Transurethral Resection of Prostate External validation Reproducibility of Results Middle Aged lcsh:Diseases of the genitourinary system. Urology medicine.disease Surgery Urinary Bladder Neoplasms 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis Concomitant Disease Progression Female Original Article Neoplasm Grading Neoplasm Recurrence Local business Non muscle invasive Brazil |
Zdroj: | International braz j urol v.42 n.5 2016 International Braz J Urol Sociedade Brasileira de Urologia (SBU) instacron:SBU International Brazilian Journal of Urology, Vol 42, Iss 5, Pp 932-941 International braz j urol, Volume: 42, Issue: 5, Pages: 932-941, Published: OCT 2016 International Brazilian Journal of Urology : official journal of the Brazilian Society of Urology |
ISSN: | 1677-5538 |
DOI: | 10.1590/s1677-5538.ibju.2015.0169 |
Popis: | Validate the EORTC risk tables in Brazilian patients with NMIBC. Methods: 205 patients were analyzed. The 6 parameters analyzed were: histologic grading, pathologic stage, size and number of tumors, previous recurrence rate and concomitant CIS. The time for first recurrence (TFR), risk score and probability of recurrence were calculated and compared to the probabilities obtained from EORTC risk tables. C-index was calculated and accuracy of EORTC tables was analyzed. Results: pTa was presented in 91 (44.4%) patients and pT1 in 114 (55.6%). Ninety-seven (47.3%) patients had solitary tumor, and 108 (52.7%) multiple tumors. One hundred and three (50.2%) patients had tumors smaller than 3 cm and 102 (40.8%) had bigger than 3 cm. Concomitant CIS was observed in 21 (10.2%) patients. Low grade was presented in 95 (46.3%) patients, and high grade in 110 (53.7%). Intravesical therapy was utilized in 105 (56.1%) patients. Recurrence was observed in 117 (57.1%) patients and the mean TFR was 14,2 ± 7,3 months. C-index was 0,72 for 1 year and 0,7 for 5 years. The recurrence risk was 28,8% in 1 year and 57,1% in 5 years, independently of the scoring risk. In our population, the EORTC risk tables overestimated the risk of recurrence in 1 year and underestimated in 5 years. Conclusion: The validation of the EORTC risk tables in Brazilian patients with NMIBC was satisfactory and should be stimulated to predict recurrence, although these may overestimated the risk of recurrence in 1 year and underestimated in 5 years. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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