Forecasting the Effects of the New SARS-CoV-2 Variant in Europe

Autor: Juan J. Nieto, Iván Area
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
2420 Virología
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak
Technology
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
Article Subject
24 Ciencias de la Vida
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
Science
viruses
Context (language use)
01 natural sciences
General Biochemistry
Genetics and Molecular Biology
Disease Outbreaks
03 medical and health sciences
0103 physical sciences
Statistics
Pandemic
Humans
2420.08 Virus Respiratorios
skin and connective tissue diseases
010301 acoustics
Pandemics
030304 developmental biology
General Environmental Science
Mathematics
1206.12 Ecuaciones Diferenciales Ordinarias
0303 health sciences
3202 Epidemiología
SARS-CoV-2
fungi
COVID-19
General Medicine
Pathogenicity
respiratory tract diseases
body regions
Europe
1206.02 Ecuaciones Diferenciales
Mutation
Medicine
Research Article
Forecasting
Zdroj: The Scientific World Journal
Investigo. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidade de Vigo
Universidade de Vigo (UVigo)
The Scientific World Journal, Vol 2021 (2021)
ISSN: 1537-744X
2356-6140
Popis: Due to the emergence of a new SARS-CoV-2 variant, we use a previous model to simulate the behaviour of this new SARS-CoV-2 variant. The analysis and simulations are performed for Europe, in order to provide a global analysis of the pandemic. In this context, numerical results are obtained in the first 100 days of the pandemic assuming an infectivity of 70%, 56%, and 35%, respectively, higher for the new SAR-CoV-2 variant, as compared with the real data. Instituto de Salud Carlos III | Ref. COV20/00617 Xunta de Galicia | Ref. ED431C 2019/02 Agencia Estatal de Investigación | Ref. MTM2016-75140-P
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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