The Good, the Bad and the Uncertain: Bioenergy use in the European Union
| Autor: | Hans van Meijl, John Helming, Robert M'barek, E.M.W. Smeets, George Philippidis, Heleen Bartelings |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
Computable general equilibrium
Agricultural production Control and Optimization Natural resource economics 020209 energy Advanced technologies Energy Engineering and Power Technology Biomass 02 engineering and technology Low-carbon economy lcsh:Technology Economía Unión Europea Política ambiental 0502 economics and business Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering Economics media_common.cataloged_instance Trade Energy market Uso de la tierra International Policy Electrical and Electronic Engineering Agricultural productivity European union Internationaal Beleid Engineering (miscellaneous) media_common Bio-chemicals lcsh:T Programmamanagement Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment Technological change Agricultura 05 social sciences Agrarische Economie en Plattelandsbeleid MAGNET model economics Bioenergía Biofuel Land use Bio-energy 050202 agricultural economics & policy Economic modelling Energy (miscellaneous) |
| Zdroj: | Energies 11 (2018) 10 Energies, 11(10) Energies Volume 11 Issue 10 Energies, Vol 11, Iss 10, p 2703 (2018) |
| ISSN: | 1996-1073 |
| Popis: | As the EU is moving towards a low carbon economy and seeks to further develop its renewable energy policy, this paper quantitatively investigates the impact of plausible energy market reforms from the perspective of bio-renewables. Employing a state-of-the-art biobased variant of a computable general equilibrium model, this study assesses the perceived medium-term benefits, risks and trade-offs which arise from an advanced biofuels plan, two exploratory scenarios of a more 'sustainable' conventional biofuels plan and a 'no-mandate' scenario. Consistent with more recent studies, none of the scenarios considered present significant challenges to EU food-security or agricultural land usage. An illustrative advanced biofuels plan simulation requires non-trivial public support to implement whilst a degree of competition for biomass with (high-value) advanced biomass material industries is observed. On the other hand, it significantly alleviates land use pressures, whilst lignocellulose biomass prices are not expected to increase to unsustainable levels. Clearly, these observations are subject to assumptions on technological change, sustainable biomass limits, expected trends in fossil fuel prices and EU access to third-country trade. With these same caveats in mind, the switch to increased bioethanol production does not result in significant market tensions in biomass markets. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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