Investigating the efficiency of fitting Coxian phase-type distributions to health care data

Autor: Adele H. Marshall, Kieran Payne, Karen Cairns
Rok vydání: 2011
Předmět:
Zdroj: Payne, K, Marshall, A & Cairns, K 2012, ' Investigating the efficiency of fitting Coxian phase-type distributions to health care data ', IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 133-145 . https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpr008
ISSN: 1471-6798
1471-678X
DOI: 10.1093/imaman/dpr008
Popis: Coxian phase-type distributions are becoming a popular means of representing survival times within a health care environment. They are favoured as they show a distribution as a system of phases and can allow for an easy visual representation of the rate of flow of patients through a system. Difficulties arise, however, in determining the parameter estimates of the Coxian phase-type distribution. This paper examines ways of making the fitting of the Coxian phase-type distribution less cumbersome by outlining different software packages and algorithms available to perform the fit and assessing their capabilities through a number of performance measures. The performance measures rate each of the methods and help in identifying the more efficient. Conclusions drawn from these performance measures suggest SAS to be the most robust package. It has a high rate of convergence in each of the four example model fits considered, short computational times, detailed output, convergence criteria options, along with a succinct ability to switch between different algorithms.
Databáze: OpenAIRE