Severe features during outbreak but low mortality observed immediately before and after a March–May 2020 COVID-19 outbreak in Stockholm, Sweden
Autor: | Ville Pimenoff, Joakim Dillner, Mikael Björnstedt |
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Rok vydání: | 2021 |
Předmět: |
Microbiology (medical)
Excess mortality 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) SARS-CoV-2 business.industry Mortality rate Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) COVID-19 Outbreak Infectious and parasitic diseases RC109-216 General Medicine Outbreak Public health Infectious Diseases Medicine Mortality business Demography |
Zdroj: | International Journal of Infectious Diseases, Vol 110, Iss, Pp 433-435 (2021) |
ISSN: | 1201-9712 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.08.005 |
Popis: | Objectives The aim of this study was to estimate how well the excess mortality reflected the burden of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related deaths during the March–May 2020 COVID-19 outbreak in Stockholm, Sweden, and whether the excess mortality during the outbreak might have resulted in a compensatory reduced mortality after the outbreak. Methods Using previous 10-year or 5-year average mortality rates as a baseline, the excess mortality estimates before, during, and after the COVID-19 outbreak in March–May 2020 in Stockholm were compared. Results Weekly death estimates revealed that the immediate pre-outbreak and post-outbreak all-cause mortality did not exceed to excess mortality regardless of whether previous 10-year or 5-year average mortality was used. Forty-three days after the start of the outbreak, 74.4% of the total excess mortality was reportedly explained by known COVID-19-related deaths, and the present study reports an update, showing that 15 weeks after the start of the outbreak, the reported COVID-19-related deaths explained >99% of the total excess mortality. Conclusions An exceptional outbreak feature of rapid excess mortality was observed. However, no excess but similarly low mortality was observed immediately prior to the outbreak and post-outbreak, thus emphasizing the severity of the first wave of the COVID-19 outbreak in Stockholm. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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