Imprints of climate forcings in global gridded temperature data
| Autor: | Jiří Mikšovský, Eva Holtanová, Petr Pišoft |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2016 |
| Předmět: |
geography
geography.geographical_feature_category 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences lcsh:Dynamic and structural geology lcsh:QE1-996.5 Volcanism Forcing (mathematics) 010502 geochemistry & geophysics Atmospheric sciences 01 natural sciences lcsh:Geology Volcano lcsh:QE500-639.5 North Atlantic oscillation Climatology Greenhouse gas Atlantic multidecadal oscillation General Earth and Planetary Sciences Environmental science lcsh:Q lcsh:Science Pacific decadal oscillation 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Teleconnection |
| Zdroj: | Earth System Dynamics, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 231-249 (2016) |
| ISSN: | 2190-4987 2190-4979 |
| Popis: | Monthly near-surface temperature anomalies from several gridded data sets (GISTEMP, Berkeley Earth, MLOST, HadCRUT4, 20th Century Reanalysis) were investigated and compared with regard to the presence of components attributable to external climate forcings (associated with anthropogenic greenhouse gases, as well as solar and volcanic activity) and to major internal climate variability modes (El Niño/Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation and variability characterized by the Trans-Polar Index). Multiple linear regression was used to separate components related to individual explanatory variables in local monthly temperatures as well as in their global means, over the 1901–2010 period. Strong correlations of temperature and anthropogenic forcing were confirmed for most of the globe, whereas only weaker and mostly statistically insignificant connections to solar activity were indicated. Imprints of volcanic forcing were found to be largely insignificant in the local temperatures, in contrast to the clear volcanic signature in their global averages. Attention was also paid to the manifestations of short-term time shifts in the responses to the forcings, and to differences in the spatial fingerprints detected from individual temperature data sets. It is shown that although the resemblance of the response patterns is usually strong, some regional contrasts appear. Noteworthy differences from the other data sets were found especially for the 20th Century Reanalysis, particularly for the components attributable to anthropogenic forcing over land, but also in the response to volcanism and in some of the teleconnection patterns related to the internal climate variability modes. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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