Epidemic control in networks with cliques

Autor: L. D. Valdez, L. Vassallo, L. A. Braunstein
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2302.08668
Popis: Social units, such as households and schools, can play an important role in controlling epidemic outbreaks. In this work, we study an epidemic model with a prompt quarantine measure on networks with cliques (a $clique$ is a fully connected subgraph representing a social unit). According to this strategy, newly infected individuals are detected and quarantined (along with their close contacts) with probability $f$. Numerical simulations reveal that epidemic outbreaks in networks with cliques are abruptly suppressed at a transition point $f_c$. However, small outbreaks show features of a second-order phase transition around $f_c$. Therefore, our model can exhibit properties of both discontinuous and continuous phase transitions. Next, we show analytically that the probability of small outbreaks goes continuously to 1 at $f_c$ in the thermodynamic limit. Finally, we find that our model exhibits a backward bifurcation phenomenon.
Databáze: OpenAIRE