A six compartments with time-delay model SHIQRD for the COVID-19 pandemic in India: During lockdown and beyond
Autor: | Avijit Pal, Avishek Adhikary |
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Rok vydání: | 2022 |
Předmět: |
Time delays
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak Operations research Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Reproduction number Time delay model 020209 energy Population India Sample (statistics) 02 engineering and technology Undetected infectious 01 natural sciences Article 010305 fluids & plasmas 0103 physical sciences Pandemic 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering education education.field_of_study General Engineering COVID-19 Outbreak Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Indian scenario Geography Quarantine TA1-2040 |
Zdroj: | Alexandria Engineering Journal, Vol 61, Iss 2, Pp 1403-1412 (2022) Alexandria Engineering Journal |
ISSN: | 1110-0168 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.aej.2021.06.027 |
Popis: | Dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in India are different from other countries for her huge population and different administrative approaches. This paper presents a six compartments (SHIQRD) model with different time delays between them, to analyse and forecast the COVID-19 pandemic in India. The model introduces separate compartments for ‘home-quarantined’, ‘quarantined infectious’, and ‘undetected infectious’ pertaining to the Indian scenario. It also incorporates incubation time, sample testing time, and recovery window as time delays between blocks. With the proposed model, reproduction number of different phases during lock-down are evaluated. Besides, dynamics of pandemic for the next one year are also explored. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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