Assessing the impact of travel restrictions on international spread of the 2014 West African Ebola epidemic

Autor: Marcelo F. C. Gomes, Ira M. Longini, Livio Bioglio, Dennis L. Chao, A Pastore y Piontti, M. E. Halloran, Loïc Rossi, Alessandro Vespignani, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto
Přispěvatelé: Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique (iPLESP), Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Northeastern University [Boston], ISI Foundation Institute for Scientific Interchange, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center [Seattle] (FHCRC), University of Florida [Gainesville] (UF), HAL UPMC, Gestionnaire
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2014
Předmět:
Zdroj: Eurosurveillance
Eurosurveillance, 2014, 19 (42), pp.2. ⟨10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.42.20936⟩
Europe PubMed Central
Eurosurveillance, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, 2014, 19 (42), pp.2. ⟨10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.42.20936⟩
Scopus-Elsevier
ISSN: 1560-7917
1025-496X
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.42.20936⟩
Popis: International audience; The quick spread of an Ebola outbreak in West Africa has led a number of countries and airline companies to issue travel bans to the affected areas. Considering data up to 31 Aug 2014, we assess the impact of the resulting traffic reductions with detailed numerical simulations of the international spread of the epidemic. Traffic reductions are shown to delay by only a few weeks the risk that the outbreak extends to new countries.
Databáze: OpenAIRE