Assessing the impact of travel restrictions on international spread of the 2014 West African Ebola epidemic
Autor: | Marcelo F. C. Gomes, Ira M. Longini, Livio Bioglio, Dennis L. Chao, A Pastore y Piontti, M. E. Halloran, Loïc Rossi, Alessandro Vespignani, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto |
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Přispěvatelé: | Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique (iPLESP), Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Northeastern University [Boston], ISI Foundation Institute for Scientific Interchange, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center [Seattle] (FHCRC), University of Florida [Gainesville] (UF), HAL UPMC, Gestionnaire |
Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2014 |
Předmět: |
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Epidemiology Global Health Article West africa Disease Outbreaks 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine [SDV.MHEP.MI]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Infectious diseases Virology Global health Humans 030212 general & internal medicine Socioeconomics Africa Western Hemorrhagic Fever Ebola Travel 030304 developmental biology 0303 health sciences Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health Outbreak 3. Good health West african Geography [SDV.SPEE] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie Africa Ebola [SDV.MHEP.MI] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Infectious diseases Hemorrhagic Fever [SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie Western |
Zdroj: | Eurosurveillance Eurosurveillance, 2014, 19 (42), pp.2. ⟨10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.42.20936⟩ Europe PubMed Central Eurosurveillance, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, 2014, 19 (42), pp.2. ⟨10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.42.20936⟩ Scopus-Elsevier |
ISSN: | 1560-7917 1025-496X |
DOI: | 10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.42.20936⟩ |
Popis: | International audience; The quick spread of an Ebola outbreak in West Africa has led a number of countries and airline companies to issue travel bans to the affected areas. Considering data up to 31 Aug 2014, we assess the impact of the resulting traffic reductions with detailed numerical simulations of the international spread of the epidemic. Traffic reductions are shown to delay by only a few weeks the risk that the outbreak extends to new countries. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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