Peramalan Kebutuhan Daya Listrik Menggunakan Model ARIMA dan Fungsi Transfer (Studi Kasus: PT. PLN (Persero) Area Sumbawa)

Autor:	Tri Susilawati, Mikhratunnisa Mikhratunnisa
Rok vydání:	2018
Předmět:	Transfer function model business.industry QA1-939 Econometrics Electricity Autoregressive integrated moving average business Electricity power ARIMA transfer function Human being Mathematics
Zdroj:	Mantik: Jurnal Matematika, Vol 4, Iss 2, Pp 122-127 (2018)
ISSN:	2527-3167 2527-3159
DOI:	10.15642/mantik.2018.4.2.122-127
Popis:	Energy is one of the basic need of human being. One of the vital energy is electricity. The need of electricity in NTB is increase along with the citizen economic development in NTB especially in Sumbawa regency. Therefore, there is a need for the right way in adjusting the amount of electrical capacity to match customer demand. One way that can be done is to forecast/ predict the need for electricity. The forecast can be used by using the ARIMA and Transfer Function models. The results of the study show that using the ARIMA model is estimated to require electricity in 2018 experienced an increase of 18,21% from the previous year, while using the transfer function model is estimated to increase by 18,18% from the previous year.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::800db2e06bf07a934173ddcdcbbf74ab https://doi.org/10.15642/mantik.2018.4.2.122-127 Zobrazit plný text záznamu