Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wild␣re: an expert assessment

Autor: Abbott, B. W., Jones, J. B., Schuur, E. A. G., Chapin, F. S., Bowden, W. B., Bret-Harte, M. S., Epstein, H. E., Flannigan, M. D., Harms, T. K., Hollingsworth, T. N., Mack, M. C., Mcguire, A. D., Natali, S. M., Rocha, A. V., Tank, S. E., Turetsky, M. R., Vonk, J. E., Wickland, K. P., Aiken, G. R., Alexander, H. D., Amon, R. M. W., Benscoter, B. W., Bergeron, Y., Bishop, K., Blarquez, O., Bond-Lamberty, B., Breen, A. L., Buffam, I., Cai, Y. H., Christopher Carcaillet, Carey, S. K., Chen, J. M., Chen, H. Y. H., Christensen, T. R., Cooper, L. W., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Groot, W. J., Deluca, T. H., Dorrepaal, E., Fetcher, N., Finlay, J. C., Forbes, B. C., French, N. H. F., Gauthier, S., Girardin, M. P., Goetz, S. J., Goldammer, J. G., Gough, L., Grogan, P., Guo, L. D., Higuera, P. E., Hinzman, L., Hu, F. S., Hugelius, G., Jafarov, E. E., Jandt, R., Johnstone, J. F., Karlsson, J., Kasischke, E. S., Kattner, G., Kelly, R., Keuper, F., Kling, G. W., Kortelainen, P., Kouki, J., Kuhry, P., Laudon, H., Laurion, I., Macdonald, R. W., Mann, P. J., Martikainen, P. J., Mcclelland, J. W., Molau, U., Oberbauer, S. F., Olefeldt, D., Pare, D., Parisien, M. A., Payette, S., Peng, C. H., Pokrovsky, O. S., Rastetter, E. B., Raymond, P. A., Raynolds, M. K., Rein, G., Reynolds, J. F., Robards, M., Rogers, B. M., Schadel, C., Schaefer, K., Schmidt, I. K., Shvidenko, A., Sky, J., Spencer, R. G. M., Starr, G., Striegl, R. G., Teisserenc, R., Tranvik, L. J., Virtanen, T., Welker, J. M., Zimov, S.
Přispěvatelé: Institute of Arctic Biology and Department of Biology & Wildlife, University of Alaska [Fairbanks] (UAF), Ecosystèmes, biodiversité, évolution [Rennes] (ECOBIO), Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Institut Ecologie et Environnement (INEE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Observatoire des Sciences de l'Univers de Rennes (OSUR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Laboratoire d'Ecologie des Hydrosystèmes Naturels et Anthropisés (LEHNA), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 (UCBL), Université de Lyon-Université de Lyon-École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État (ENTPE), McMaster University [Hamilton, Ontario], 955713, National Science Foundation, OPP-0806394, Office of Polar Programs, Future Forest (Mistra), SITES (Swedish Science Foundation), TOMCAR-Permafrost #277059, Marie Curie International Reintegration, Institute of Arctic Biology, Université de Rennes (UR)-Institut Ecologie et Environnement (INEE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Observatoire des Sciences de l'Univers de Rennes (OSUR), Université de Rennes (UR)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université de Rennes 2 (UR2)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université de Rennes 2 (UR2)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 (UCBL), Université de Lyon-Université de Lyon-École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État (ENTPE)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Observatoire des Sciences de l'Univers de Rennes (OSUR)-Institut Ecologie et Environnement (INEE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES), Earth and Climate, Systems Ecology, Amsterdam Global Change Institute, Environmental Sciences, Tarmo Virtanen / Principal Investigator, Environmental Change Research Unit (ECRU)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
0106 biological sciences
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Biomass
F800
SEQUESTRATION
Permafrost
01 natural sciences
FIRE
wildfire
Klimatforskning
Arctic
вечная мерзлота
Dissolved organic carbon
ECOSYSTEMS
SDG 13 - Climate Action
boreal
General Environmental Science
Total organic carbon
ARCTIC TUNDRA
CLIMATE-CHANGE
Carbon
Climate change
Miljövetenskap
Permafrost carbon cycle
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
STORAGE
углеродный баланс
particulate organic carbon
Climate Research
permafrost carbon
Soil science
010603 evolutionary biology
BOREAL FOREST
биомасса
Ecosystem
SDG 14 - Life Below Water
1172 Environmental sciences
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
INTERIOR ALASKA
coastal erosion
Hydrology
VULNERABILITY
NITROGEN DEPOSITION
Renewable Energy
Sustainability and the Environment
coastal erosion Supplementary material for this article is available
Public Health
Environmental and Occupational Health
Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap
15. Life on land
dissolved organic carbon
Tundra
13. Climate action
Soil water
Environmental science
[SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology
Environmental Sciences
Zdroj: Environmental Research Letters
Environmental Research Letters, IOP Publishing, 2016, 11 (3), pp.1-13. ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014⟩
Environmental research letters. 2016. Vol. 11. P. 034014 (1-13)
Environmental Research Letters 3 (11), . (2016)
Environmental Research Letters, 2016, 11 (3), pp.1-13. ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014⟩
Abbott, B W, Jones, J B, Schuur, E A G, Chapin III, F S, Bowden, W B, Bret-Harte, M S, Epstein, H E, Flannigan, M D, Harms, T K, Hollingsworth, T N, Mack, M C, McGuire, A D, Natali, S M, Rocha, A V, Tank, S E, Turetsky, M R, Vonk, J E, Wickland, K P, Aiken, G R, Alexander, H D, Amon, R M W, Benscoter, B W, Bergeron, Y, Bishop, K, Blarquez, O, Bond-Lamberty, B, Breen, A L, Buffam, I, Cai, Y, Carcaillet, C, Carey, S K, Chen, J M, Chen, H Y H, Christensen, T R, Cooper, L W, Cornelissen, J H C, de Groot, W J, DeLuca, T H, Dorrepaal, E, Fetcher, N, Finlay, J C, Forbes, B C, French, N H F, Gauthier, S, Girardin, M P, Goetz, S J, Goldammer, J G, Gough, L, Grogan, P, Guo, L, Higuera, P E, Hinzman, L, Hu, F S, Hugelius, G, Jafarov, E E, Jandt, R, Johnstone, J F, Karlsson, J, Kasischke, E S, Kattner, G, Kelly, R, Keuper, F, Kling, G W, Kortelainen, P, Kouki, J, Kuhry, P, Laudon, H, Laurion, I, Macdonald, R W, Mann, P J, Martikainen, P J, McClelland, J W, Molau, U, Oberbauer, S F, Olefeldt, D, Paré, D, Parisien, M-A, Payette, S, Peng, C, Pokrovsky, O S, Rastetter, E B, Raymond, P A, Raynolds, M K, Rein, G, Reynolds, J F, Robards, M, Rogers, B M, Schädel, C, Schaefer, K, Schmidt, I K, Shvidenko, A, Sky, J, Spencer, R G M, Starr, G, Striegl, R G, Teisserenc, R, Tranvik, L J, Virtanen, T, Welker, J M & Zimov, S 2016, ' Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment ', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 11, no. 3, 034014 . https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014
ResearcherID
Abbott, B W, Jones, J B, Schuur, E A G, Chapin, F S III, Bowden, W B, Bret-Harte, M S, Epstein, H E, Flannigan, M D, Harms, T K, Hollingsworth, T N, Mack, M C, McGuire, A D, Natali, S M, Rocha, A V, Tank, S E, Turetsky, M R, Vonk, J E, Wickland, K P, Aiken, G R, Alexander, H D, Amon, R M W, Benscoter, B W, Bergeron, Y, Bishop, K, Blarquez, O, Bond-Lamberty, B, Breen, A L, Buffam, I, Cai, Y, Carcaillet, C, Carey, S K, Chen, J M, Chen, H Y H, Christensen, T R, Cooper, L W, Cornelissen, J H C, de Groot, W J, DeLuca, T H, Dorrepaal, E, Fetcher, N, Finlay, J C, Forbes, B C, French, N H F, Gauthier, S, Girardin, M P, Goetz, S J, Goldammer, J G, Gough, L, Grogan, P, Guo, L, Higuera, P E, Hinzman, L, Hu, F S, Hugelius, G, Jafarov, E E, Jandt, R, Johnstone, J F, Karlsson, J, Kasischke, E S, Kattner, G, Kelly, R, Keuper, F, Kling, G W, Kortelainen, P, Kouki, J, Kuhry, P, Laudon, H, Laurion, I, Macdonald, R W, Mann, P J, Martikainen, P J, McClelland, J W, Molau, U, Oberbauer, S F, Olefeldt, D, Pare, D, Parisien, M-A, Payette, S, Peng, C, Pokrovsky, O S, Rastetter, E B, Raymond, P A, Raynolds, M K, Rein, G, Reynolds, J F, Robards, M, Rogers, B M, Schaedel, C, Schaefer, K, Schmidt, I K, Shvidenko, A, Sky, J, Spencer, R G M, Starr, G, Striegl, R G, Teisserenc, R, Tranvik, L J, Virtanen, T, Welker, J M & Zimov, S 2016, ' Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire : an expert assessment ', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 11, no. 3, 034014 . https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014
Environmental Research Letters, 11(3):034014. IOP Publishing Ltd.
EPIC3Environmental Research Letters, IOP Publishing Ltd, 11(3), pp. 034014, ISSN: 1748-9326
Abbott, B W, Jones, J B, Schuur, E A G, Chapin, F S, Bowden, W B, Bret-Harte, M S, Epstein, H E, Flannigan, M D, Harms, T K, Hollingsworth, T N, Mack, M C, McGuire, A D, Natali, S M, Rocha, A V, Tank, S E, Turetsky, M R, Vonk, J E, Wickland, K P, Aiken, G R, Alexander, H D, Amon, R M W, Benscoter, B W, Bergeron, Y, Bishop, K, Blarquez, O, Bond-Lamberty, B, Breen, A L, Buffam, I, Cai, Y, Carcaillet, C, Carey, S K, Chen, J M, Chen, H Y H, Christensen, T R, Cooper, L W, Cornelissen, J H C, de Groot, W J, DeLuca, T H, Dorrepaal, E, Fetcher, N, Finlay, J C, Forbes, B C, French, N H F, Gauthier, S, Girardin, M P, Goetz, S J, Goldammer, J G, Gough, L, Grogan, P, Guo, L, Higuera, P E, Hinzman, L, Hu, F S, Hugelius, G, Jafarov, E E, Jandt, R, Johnstone, J F, Karlsson, J, Kasischke, E S, Kattner, G, Kelly, R, Keuper, F, Kling, G W, Kortelainen, P, Kouki, J, Kuhry, P, Laudon, H, Laurion, I, Macdonald, R W, Mann, P J, Martikainen, P J, McClelland, J W, Molau, U, Oberbauer, S F, Olefeldt, D, Pare, D, Parisien, M-A, Payette, S, Peng, C, Pokrovsky, O S, Rastetter, E B, Raymond, P A, Raynolds, M K, Rein, G, Reynolds, J F, Robards, M, Rogers, B M, Schaedel, C, Schaefer, K, Schmidt, I K, Shvidenko, A, Sky, J, Spencer, R G M, Starr, G, Striegl, R G, Teisserenc, R, Tranvik, L J, Virtanen, T, Welker, J M & Zimov, S 2016, ' Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire : an expert assessment ', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 11, no. 3, 034014 . https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014
ISSN: 1748-9326
Popis: CT3 ; EnjS4; International audience; As the permafrost region warms, its large organic carbon pool will be increasingly vulnerable to decomposition, combustion, and hydrologic export. Models predict that some portion of this release will be offset by increased production of Arctic and boreal biomass; however, the lack of robust estimates of net carbon balance increases the risk of further overshooting international emissions targets. Precise empirical or model-based assessments of the critical factors driving carbon balance are unlikely in the near future, so to address this gap, we present estimates from 98 permafrost-region experts of the response of biomass, wild␣re, and hydrologic carbon ␣ux to climate change. Results suggest that contrary to model projections, total permafrost-region biomass could decrease due to water stress and disturbance, factors that are not adequately incorporated in current models. Assessments indicate that end-of-the-century organic carbon release from Arctic rivers and collapsing coastlines could increase by 75% while carbon loss via burning could increase four-fold. Experts identi␣ed water balance, shifts in vegetation community, and permafrost degradation as the key sources of uncertainty in predicting future system response. In combination with previous ␣ndings, results suggest the permafrost region will become a carbon source to the atmosphere by 2100 regardless of warming scenario but that 65%–85% of permafrost carbon release can still be avoided if human emissions are actively reduced.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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