'One Man One Vote'. Part 1: Electoral Justice in the U.S. Electoral College: Banzhaf and Shapley/Shubik versus May
| Autor: | Issofa Moyouwou, Michel Le Breton, Olivier de Mouzon, Thibault Laurent |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), Université Toulouse 1 Capitole (UT1), Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Diss, Mostopha, Merlin, Vincent |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Shapley–Shubik power index
05 social sciences Voting Power 16. Peace & justice [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance Economic Justice Probability model Coincidence 0506 political science 0502 economics and business Electoral College 050602 political science & public administration Economics Electoral college 050207 economics One man one vote Mathematical economics B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE Electoral Justice |
| Zdroj: | Evaluating Voting Systems with Probability Models Evaluating Voting Systems with Probability Models, Springer Verlag, pp.189-227, 2020, 978-3-030-48598-6. ⟨10.1007/978-3-030-48598-6⟩ Studies in Choice and Welfare ISBN: 9783030485979 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/978-3-030-48598-6⟩ |
| Popis: | National audience; This paper is dedicated to the measurement of (or lack of) electoral justice in the 2010Electoral College using a methodology based on the expected influence of the vote of each citizen for three probability models. Our first contribution is to revisit and reproduce the results obtained by Owen (1975) for the 1960 and 1970 Electoral College. His work displays an intriguing coincidence between the conclusions drawn respectively from the Banzhaf and Shapley-Shubik’s probability models. Both probability models conclude toa violation of electoral justice at the expense of small states. Our second contribution is to demonstrate that this conclusion is completely flipped upside-down when we use May’s probability model: this model leads instead to a violation of electoral justice at the expense of large states. Besides unifying disparate approaches through a common measurement methodology, one main lesson of the paper is that the conclusions are sensitive to the prob-ability models which are used and in particular to the type and magnitude of correlation between voters that they carry. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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