Estimated incidence of previously undetected atrial fibrillation on a 14-day continuous electrocardiographic monitor and associated risk of stroke

Autor: William F McIntyre, Jia Wang, Alexander P Benz, Linda Johnson, Stuart J Connolly, Isabelle C Van Gelder, Renato D Lopes, Michael R Gold, Stefan H Hohnloser, Chu Pak Lau, Carsten W Israel, Jorge A Wong, David Conen, Jeff S Healey
Přispěvatelé: Cardiovascular Centre (CVC)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Europace, 24(7), 1058-1064. Oxford University Press
ISSN: 1099-5129
Popis: Aims There is uncertainty about whether and how to perform screening for atrial fibrillation (AF). To estimate the incidence of previously undetected AF that would be captured using a continuous 14-day ECG monitor and the associated risk of stroke. Methods and results We analysed data from a cohort of patients >65 years old with hypertension and a pacemaker, but without known AF. For each participant, we simulated 1000 ECG monitors by randomly selecting 14-day windows in the 6 months following enrolment and calculated the average AF burden (total time in AF). We used Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for CHA2DS2-VASc score to estimate the risk of subsequent ischaemic stroke or systemic embolism (SSE) associated with burdens of AF > and 6 min was 3.10% (95% CI 2.53–3.72). This was consistent across strata of age and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Over a mean follow-up of 2.4 years, the rate of SSE among patients with 6 min of AF. Conclusions Approximately 3% of individuals aged >65 years with hypertension may have more than 6 min of AF detected by a 14-day ECG monitor. This is associated with a stroke risk of over 2% per year. Whether oral anticoagulation will reduce stroke in these patients is unknown.
Databáze: OpenAIRE