Simulation of land use evolution by discrete events method: Application to 'la chaîne des puys' from XV to XVIII Century

Autor: C. Poix, Y. Michelin
Rok vydání: 1998
Předmět:
Zdroj: Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Vol 2, Iss 3, Pp 173-186 (1998)
ISSN: 1607-887X
1026-0226
DOI: 10.1155/s1026022698000156
Popis: By using a discrete event method, simulation of land use evolution has been applied to a landscape model of “la ChaÎne des Puys” (French Massif Central) during along period (XV–XVIII centuries). The indications concerning the evolution of land use are in conformity with the observation of actual situations but the dynamic changes are faster than in actual facts. In spite of limitations due to necessary simplifications, it is now established that the discrete event method is efficient to simulate land use evolution during a long period. The model is immediately able to describe actual dynamics and to show sensitive variables with their critical values. Although oversimplified, it shows how far factors such as level of crops production and taxation can influence land use and landscape changes with a more or less lengthy period. In the future, the model should be bettered by introducing other determined and/or stochastic events.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz: