What do adoption patterns of solar panels observed so far tell about governments' incentive? insight from diffusion models

Autor: Mariangela Guidolin, Pompeo Della Posta, Piero Manfredi, Anita M. Bunea
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
generalized internal model
FOS: Computer and information sciences
General Economics (econ.GN)
generalized Bass model
020209 energy
media_common.quotation_subject
02 engineering and technology
Statistics - Applications
Market growth
FOS: Economics and business
perspectives on adoptions of renewable energies
Management of Technology and Innovation
0502 economics and business
0202 electrical engineering
electronic engineering
information engineering
Global diffusion of solar photovoltaic panels
state incentive
generalized Bass model
generalized internal model
perspectives on adoptions of renewable energies
97K80
Applications (stat.AP)
Business and International Management
Diffusion (business)
Applied Psychology
Economics - General Economics
media_common
business.industry
05 social sciences
Global warming
Photovoltaic system
Global diffusion of solar photovoltaic panels
International economics
Renewable energy
Incentive
Scale (social sciences)
state incentive
Business
Imitation
050203 business & management
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.1909.10017
Popis: The paper uses diffusion models to understand the main determinants of diffusion of solar photovoltaic panels (SPP) worldwide, focusing on the role of public incentives. We applied the generalized Bass model (GBM) to adoption data of 26 countries between 1992-2016. The SPP market appears as a frail and complicate one, lacking public media support. Even the major shocks in adoption curves, following state incentive implemented after 2006, failed to go beyond short-term effects and therefore were unable to provide sustained momentum to the market. This suggests that further barriers to adoption should be removed.
Comment: 23 pages, 6 figures, 1 table, under review by Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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