Influential Factors on Injury Severity for Drivers of Light Trucks and Vans with Machine Learning Methods
| Autor: | Camino González-Fernández, Blanca Arenas-Ramírez, Giovanny Pillajo-Quijia, Francisco Aparicio-Izquierdo |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Truck
logit model Computer science Geography Planning and Development TJ807-830 Management Monitoring Policy and Law Machine learning computer.software_genre Logistic regression TD194-195 Renewable energy sources 0502 economics and business 0501 psychology and cognitive sciences GE1-350 light-duty vehicles 050107 human factors 050210 logistics & transportation Environmental effects of industries and plants Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment business.industry sustainable development goals (SDG) 05 social sciences driver injury severity classification and regression training (CARET) Rollover Random forest Environmental sciences traffic accident machine learning methods support vector machine (SVM) Artificial intelligence business computer random forest |
| Zdroj: | Sustainability Volume 12 Issue 4 Sustainability, Vol 12, Iss 4, p 1324 (2020) |
| ISSN: | 2071-1050 |
| DOI: | 10.3390/su12041324 |
| Popis: | The study of road accidents and the adoption of measures to reduce them is one of the most important targets of the Sustainable Development Goals for 2030. To further progress in the improvement of road safety, it is necessary to focus studies on specific groups, such as light trucks and vans. Since 2013 in Spain, there has been an upturn in accidents in these two categories of vehicles and a renewed interest to deepen our understanding of the causes that encourage this behavior. This paper focuses on using machine learning methods to explain driver-injury severity in run-off-roadway and rollover types of accidents. A Random Forest (RF)-classification tree (CART) approach is used to select the relevant categorical variables (driver, vehicle, infrastructure, and environmental factors) to obtain models that classify, explain, and predict the severity of such accidents with good accuracy. A support vector machine and binomial logit models were applied in order to contrast the variable importance ranking and the performance analysis, and the results are convergent with the RF+CART approach (more than 70% accuracy). The resulting models highlight the importance of using safety belts, as well as psychophysical conditions (alcohol, drugs, or sleep deprivation) and injury localization for the two accident types. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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