An approach to assess flooding and erosion risk for open beaches in a changing climate
| Autor: | Fernando J. Méndez, Petya Eftimova, Shunqi Pan, M. Villatoro, David Simmonds, Ekaterina Trifonova, Inigo J. Losada, Edgar Mendoza, Luca Martinelli, Cristina Izaguirre, Barbara Zanuttigh, Panagiota Galiatsatou, Sara Mizar Formentin, Rodolfo Silva, Dominic E. Reeve |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Villatoro M., Silva R., Méndez F.J., Zanuttigh B., Pan S., Trifonova E., Losada I.J., Izaguirre C., Simmonds D., Reeve D.E., Mendoza E., Martinelli L., Formentin S.M., Galiatsatou P., Eftimova P. |
| Rok vydání: | 2014 |
| Předmět: |
Environmental Engineering
EROSION 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences EXTREME EVENT 0211 other engineering and technologies FLOODING Ocean Engineering 02 engineering and technology 01 natural sciences Mediterranean sea Hindcast Bathymetry 14. Life underwater COASTAL RISK Coastal flood 0105 earth and related environmental sciences 021110 strategic defence & security studies Plage Flood myth Discharge Flooding (psychology) HAZARD SOURCES SPRC 13. Climate action Environmental science Physical geography Cartography |
| Popis: | none 15 si This paper examines the vulnerability to flooding and erosion of four open beach study sites in Europe. A framework for the quantitative estimation of present and future coastal flood and erosion risks is established using methods, data and tools from across a range of disciplines, including topographic and bathymetric data, climate data from observation, hindcast and model projections, statistical modelling of current and future climates and integrated risk analysis tools. Uncertainties in the estimation of future coastal system dynamics are considered, as are the consequences for the inland systems. Different implementations of the framework are applied to the study sites which have different wave, tidal and surge climate conditions. These sites are: Santander, Spain—the Atlantic Ocean; Bellocchio, Italy—the Adriatic Sea; Varna, Bulgaria—the Black Sea; and the Teign Estuary, UK—the northern Atlantic Ocean. The complexity of each system is first simplified by sub-division into coastal “impact units” defined by homogeneity in the local key forcing parameters: wave, wind, tide, river discharge, run-off, etc. This reduces the simulation to that of a number of simpler linear problems which are treated by applying the first two components of the Source–Pathway–Receptor–Consequence (S–P–R–C) approach. The case studies reveal the flexibility of this approach, which is found useful for the rapid assessment of the risks of flooding and erosion for a range of scenarios and the likely effectiveness of flood defences. Villatoro M.; Silva R.; Méndez F.J.; Zanuttigh B.; Pan S.; Trifonova E.; Losada I.J.; Izaguirre C.; Simmonds D.; Reeve D.E.; Mendoza E.; Martinelli L.; Formentin S.M.; Galiatsatou P.; Eftimova P. Villatoro M.; Silva R.; Méndez F.J.; Zanuttigh B.; Pan S.; Trifonova E.; Losada I.J.; Izaguirre C.; Simmonds D.; Reeve D.E.; Mendoza E.; Martinelli L.; Formentin S.M.; Galiatsatou P.; Eftimova P. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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