Pain rates in general population for the period 1991-2015 and 10-years prediction: Results from a multi-continent age-period-cohort analysis
| Autor: | Seppo Koskinen, Demosthenes B. Panagiotakos, Martin Bobak, Holger Arndt, Albert Sanchez-Niubo, Maria Victoria Moneta, Beata Tobiasz-Adamczyk, Ilona Koupil, Stefanos Tyrovolas, Iago Gine-Vazquez, Davide Guido, Matilde Leonardi, Blanca Mellor-Marsá, Jerome Bickenbach, Josep Maria Haro, Somnath Chatterji, José Luis Ayuso-Mateos, Alberto Raggi |
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| Přispěvatelé: | UAM. Departamento de Psiquiatría, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Hospital Universitario de La Princesa (IIS-IP) |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Adult
Male Employment medicine.medical_specialty Neurology Medicina media_common.quotation_subject Pain medicine Population Psychological intervention MEDLINE lcsh:Medicine Pain Musculoskeletal disorders 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Headache disorders Humans Medicine 030212 general & internal medicine Projection education Aged media_common Aged 80 and over education.field_of_study business.industry Incidence lcsh:R Age period cohort Bayes Theorem General Medicine Middle Aged Bayesian age period cohort model Work performance Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine Female Self Report Neurology (clinical) business Welfare 030217 neurology & neurosurgery Research Article Demography |
| Zdroj: | Biblos-e Archivo: Repositorio Institucional de la UAM Universidad Autónoma de Madrid Biblos-e Archivo. Repositorio Institucional de la UAM instname The Journal of Headache and Pain, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2020) The Journal of Headache and Pain |
| Popis: | Background: Pain is a common symptom, often associated with neurological and musculoskeletal conditions, and experienced especially by females and by older people. The aims of this study are to evaluate the temporal variations of pain rates among general populations for the period 1991-2015 and to project 10-year pain rates. Methods: We used the harmonized dataset of ATHLOS project, which included 660,028 valid observations in the period 1990-2015 and we applied Bayesian age-period-cohort modeling to perform projections up to 2025. The harmonized Pain variable covers the content "self-reported pain experienced at the time of the interview", with a dichotomous (yes or no) modality. Results: Pain rates were higher among females, older subjects, in recent periods, and among observations referred to cohorts of subjects born between the 20s and the 60s. The 10-year projections indicate a noteworthy increase in pain rates in both genders and particularly among subjects aged 66 or over, for whom a 10-20% increase in pain rate is foreseen; among females only, a 10-15% increase in pain rates is foreseen for those aged 36-50. Conclusions: Projected increase in pain rates will require specific interventions by health and welfare systems, as pain is responsible for limited quality of subjective well-being, reduced employment rates and hampered work performance. Worksite and lifestyle interventions will therefore be needed to limit the impact of projected higher pain rates. The ATHLOS project (Ageing Trajectories of Health: Longitudinal Opportunities and Synergies) has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 635316. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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