Prediction of implantation after blastocyst transfer in in vitro fertilization: a machine-learning perspective

Autor: Kelly Tilleman, Ilse DeCroo, R.R. Wildeboer, C. Blank, Benedictus C. Schoot, Massimo Mischi, Petra De Sutter, Basiel Weyers
Přispěvatelé: Biomedical Diagnostics Lab, Signal Processing Systems, Center for Care & Cure Technology Eindhoven
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Male
0301 basic medicine
medicine.medical_specialty
Sperm Injections
medicine.medical_treatment
Single Embryo Transfer
Fertilization in Vitro
Risk Assessment
Decision Support Techniques
Machine Learning
03 medical and health sciences
Single Embryo Transfer/adverse effects
0302 clinical medicine
Risk Factors
Pregnancy
medicine
Humans
Sperm Injections
Intracytoplasmic

Embryo Implantation
Fertilization in Vitro/adverse effects
Retrospective Studies
030219 obstetrics & reproductive medicine
In vitro fertilisation
Receiver operating characteristic
Obstetrics
business.industry
Blastocyst Transfer
Reproducibility of Results
Obstetrics and Gynecology
Retrospective cohort study
Blastocyst transfer
Infertility/diagnosis
medicine.disease
Intracytoplasmic
prediction model
Treatment Outcome
Fertility
030104 developmental biology
Reproductive Medicine
IVF
Infertility
Cohort
Female
business
Live birth
random forest
Zdroj: Fertility and Sterility, 111(2), 318-326. Agon Elsevier
ISSN: 0015-0282
DOI: 10.1016/j.fertnstert.2018.10.030
Popis: Objective: To develop a random forest model (RFM) to predict implantation potential of a transferred embryo and compare it with a multivariate logistic regression model (MvLRM), based on data from a large cohort including in vitro fertilization (IVF) patients treated with the use of single-embryo transfer (SET) of blastocyst-stage embryos. Design: Retrospective study of a 2-year single-center cohort of women undergoing IVF or intracytoplasmatic sperm injection (ICSI). Setting: Academic hospital. Patient(s): Data from 1,052 women who underwent fresh SET in IVF or ICSI cycles were included. Intervention(s): None. Main Outcome Measure(s): The performance of both RFM and MvLRM to predict pregnancy was quantified in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), classification accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity. Result(s): ROC analysis resulted in an AUC of 0.74 ± 0.03 for the proposed RFM and 0.66 ± 0.05 for the MvLRM for the prediction of ongoing pregnancies of ≥11 weeks. This RFM approach and the MvLRM yielded, respectively, sensitivities of 0.84 ± 0.07 and 0.66 ± 0.08 and specificities of 0.48 ± 0.07 and 0.58 ± 0.08. Conclusion(s): The performance to predict ongoing implantation will significantly improve with the use of an RFM approach compared with MvLRM.
Databáze: OpenAIRE