Fogarty International Center collaborative networks in infectious disease modeling: Lessons learnt in research and capacity building

Autor: Martha I. Nelson, Gerardo Chowell, Lone Simonsen, Edward C. Holmes, Mark A. Miller, James O. Lloyd-Smith, Andrew Rambaut, Bryan T. Grenfell, David J. Spiro, Cécile Viboud
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
emerging disease threats
Epidemiology
International Cooperation
transmission models
Big data
infectious diseases
Zika virus
0302 clinical medicine
Pandemic
Computational models
030212 general & internal medicine
education.field_of_study
biology
capacity building
Capacity building
Public relations
Transmission models
Policy
Influenza Vaccines
Emerging disease threats
Infectious diseases
influenza
policy
Capacity Building
030231 tropical medicine
Population
education
Pathogen evolution
Microbiology
Communicable Diseases
Article
lcsh:Infectious and parasitic diseases
Birds
03 medical and health sciences
Virology
Political science
Control
Influenza
Human

Animals
Humans
lcsh:RC109-216
Pandemics
business.industry
Public Health
Environmental and Occupational Health

pathogen evolution
Outbreak
biology.organism_classification
Influenza
Infectious disease (medical specialty)
computational models
Influenza in Birds
Parasitology
business
Working group
control
Zdroj: Epidemics
Nelson, M I, Lloyd-Smith, J O, Simonsen, L, Rambaut, A, Holmes, E C, Chowell, G, Miller, M A, Spiro, D J, Grenfell, B & Viboud, C 2018, ' Fogarty International Center collaborative networks in infectious disease modeling : Lessons learnt in research and capacity building ', Epidemics, vol. 26, pp. 116-127 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2018.10.004
Epidemics, Vol 26, Iss, Pp 116-127 (2019)
ISSN: 1878-0067
1755-4365
Popis: Due to a combination of ecological, political, and demographic factors, the emergence of novel pathogens has been increasingly observed in animals and humans in recent decades. Enhancing global capacity to study and interpret infectious disease surveillance data, and to develop data-driven computational models to guide policy, represents one of the most cost-effective, and yet overlooked, ways to prepare for the next pandemic. Epidemiological and behavioral data from recent pandemics and historic scourges have provided rich opportunities for validation of computational models, while new sequencing technologies and the ‘big data’ revolution present new tools for studying the epidemiology of outbreaks in real time. For the past two decades, the Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies (DIEPS) of the NIH Fogarty International Center has spearheaded two synergistic programs to better understand and devise control strategies for global infectious disease threats. The Multinational Influenza Seasonal Mortality Study (MISMS) has strengthened global capacity to study the epidemiology and evolutionary dynamics of influenza viruses in 80 countries by organizing international research activities and training workshops. The Research and Policy in Infectious Disease Dynamics (RAPIDD) program and its precursor activities has established a network of global experts in infectious disease modeling operating at the research-policy interface, with collaborators in 78 countries. These activities have provided evidence-based recommendations for disease control, including during large-scale outbreaks of pandemic influenza, Ebola and Zika virus. Together, these programs have coordinated international collaborative networks to advance the study of emerging disease threats and the field of computational epidemic modeling. A global community of researchers and policy-makers have used the tools and trainings developed by these programs to interpret infectious disease patterns in their countries, understand modeling concepts, and inform control policies. Here we reflect on the scientific achievements and lessons learnt from these programs (h-index = 106 for RAPIDD and 79 for MISMS), including the identification of outstanding researchers and fellows; funding flexibility for timely research workshops and working groups (particularly relative to more traditional investigator-based grant programs); emphasis on group activities such as large-scale modeling reviews, model comparisons, forecasting challenges and special journal issues; strong quality control with a light touch on outputs; and prominence of training, data-sharing, and joint publications. Keywords: Infectious diseases, Transmission models, Computational models, Pathogen evolution, Capacity building, Emerging disease threats, Influenza, Control, Policy
Databáze: OpenAIRE