Mortality risk attributable to wildfire-related PM2·5 pollution: a global time series study in 749 locations
| Autor: | Klea Katsouyanni, Jan Kyselý, Noah Scovronick, Do Van Dung, Simona Fratianni, Antonella Zanobetti, Christofer Åström, Iulian-Horia Holobaca, Ala Overcenco, João Paulo Teixeira, Paulo Hilário Nascimento Saldiva, Alireza Entezari, Yasushi Honda, Jonathan M. Samet, Xerxes Seposo, Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera, Aleš Urban, Danny Houthuijs, Shanshan Li, Whanhee Lee, Haidong Kan, Rosana Abrutzky, Gongbo Chen, Michael J. Abramson, Yadong Lei, Shih-Chun Pan, Carmen Iñiguez, Barrak Alahmad, Masahiro Hashizume, Ai Milojevic, Aurelio Tobias, Rebecca M. Garland, Francesco Sera, Wenhua Yu, Patricia Matus, Hans Orru, Yue Leon Guo, César De la Cruz Valencia, Joel Schwartz, Massimo Stafoggia, Fatemeh Mayvaneh, Mathilde Pascal, Ho Kim, Niilo R.I. Ryti, Marek Maasikmets, Nicolas Valdes Ortega, Eric Lavigne, Shilu Tong, Antonio Gasparrini, Patrick Goodman, Baltazar Nunes, Michelle L. Bell, Yuming Guo, Valentina Colistro, Veronika Huber, Ben Armstrong, Bertil Forsberg, Shilpa Rao, Evangelia Samoli, Magali Hurtado-Díaz, Alexandra Schneider, Tingting Ye, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Tran Ngoc Dang, Samuel David Osorio García, Jouni J. K. Jaakkola, Matteo Scortichini, Ariana Zeka, Gabriel Carrasco-Escobar, Xu Yue, Dominic Royé, Martina S. Ragettli, Caroline Ameling, Joana Madureira |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Tobías, Aurelio [0000-0001-6428-6755], Instituto de Saúde Pública da Universidade do Porto, Tobías, Aurelio |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Pollution
Health (social science) all cause mortality media_common.quotation_subject Population Medicine (miscellaneous) 610 Medicine & health PM2.5 medical research wildfire health hazard 360 Social problems & social services cardiovascular mortality Environmental health Medicine controlled study human education Mortality risk Cardiovascular mortality media_common Series (stratigraphy) education.field_of_study business.industry Health Policy public health Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health article risk assessment Public Health Global Health Social Medicine and Epidemiology short term exposure Folkhälsovetenskap global hälsa socialmedicin och epidemiologi Increased risk risk factor city Relative risk time series analysis Attributable risk PM 2·5 Pollution mortality risk Determinantes da Saúde e da Doença Genotoxicidade Ambiental business Global time meta analysis |
| Zdroj: | The Lancet Planetary Health Digital.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC instname Lancet Planet Health 5, e579-e587 (2021) Chen, Gongbo; Guo, Yuming; Yue, Xu; Tong, Shilu; Gasparrini, Antonio; Bell, Michelle L; Armstrong, Ben; Schwartz, Joel; Jaakkola, Jouni J K; Zanobetti, Antonella; Lavigne, Eric; Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario; Kan, Haidong; Royé, Dominic; Milojevic, Ai; Overcenco, Ala; Urban, Aleš; Schneider, Alexandra; Entezari, Alireza; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; ... (2021). Mortality risk attributable to wildfire-related PM2·5 pollution: a global time series study in 749 locations. Lancet planetary health, 5(9), e579-e587. Elsevier 10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00200-X LANCET PLANETARY HEALTH r-FISABIO. Repositorio Institucional de Producción Científica |
| ISSN: | 2542-5196 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00200-X |
| Popis: | Summary Background Many regions of the world are now facing more frequent and unprecedentedly large wildfires. However, the association between wildfire-related PM2·5 and mortality has not been well characterised. We aimed to comprehensively assess the association between short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2·5 and mortality across various regions of the world. Methods For this time series study, data on daily counts of deaths for all causes, cardiovascular causes, and respiratory causes were collected from 749 cities in 43 countries and regions during 2000–16. Daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM2·5 were estimated using the three-dimensional chemical transport model GEOS-Chem at a 0·25° × 0·25° resolution. The association between wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure and mortality was examined using a quasi-Poisson time series model in each city considering both the current-day and lag effects, and the effect estimates were then pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis. Based on these pooled effect estimates, the population attributable fraction and relative risk (RR) of annual mortality due to acute wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure was calculated. Findings 65·6 million all-cause deaths, 15·1 million cardiovascular deaths, and 6·8 million respiratory deaths were included in our analyses. The pooled RRs of mortality associated with each 10 μg/m3 increase in the 3-day moving average (lag 0–2 days) of wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure were 1·019 (95% CI 1·016–1·022) for all-cause mortality, 1·017 (1·012–1·021) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1·019 (1·013–1·025) for respiratory mortality. Overall, 0·62% (95% CI 0·48–0·75) of all-cause deaths, 0·55% (0·43–0·67) of cardiovascular deaths, and 0·64% (0·50–0·78) of respiratory deaths were annually attributable to the acute impacts of wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure during the study period. Australian Research Council, Australian National Health & Medical Research Council. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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