Evaluation of Deep Learning Models for Multi-Step Ahead Time Series Prediction

Autor: Shaurya Goyal, Rohitash Chandra, Rishabh Gupta
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
FOS: Computer and information sciences
Computer Science - Machine Learning
General Computer Science
Computer science
Computer Science - Artificial Intelligence
020209 energy
02 engineering and technology
LSTM networks
Machine learning
computer.software_genre
Convolutional neural network
Machine Learning (cs.LG)
time series prediction
convolutional neural networks
0202 electrical engineering
electronic engineering
information engineering

General Materials Science
Time series
Artificial neural network
business.industry
Deep learning
General Engineering
Univariate
deep learning
TK1-9971
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
Recurrent neural network
Stochastic gradient descent
Recurrent neural networks
Benchmark (computing)
020201 artificial intelligence & image processing
Artificial intelligence
Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering
business
computer
Zdroj: IEEE Access, Vol 9, Pp 83105-83123 (2021)
ISSN: 2169-3536
Popis: Time series prediction with neural networks has been the focus of much research in the past few decades. Given the recent deep learning revolution, there has been much attention in using deep learning models for time series prediction, and hence it is important to evaluate their strengths and weaknesses. In this paper, we present an evaluation study that compares the performance of deep learning models for multi-step ahead time series prediction. The deep learning methods comprise simple recurrent neural networks, long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, bidirectional LSTM networks, encoder-decoder LSTM networks, and convolutional neural networks. We provide a further comparison with simple neural networks that use stochastic gradient descent and adaptive moment estimation (Adam) for training. We focus on univariate time series for multi-step-ahead prediction from benchmark time-series datasets and provide a further comparison of the results with related methods from the literature. The results show that the bidirectional and encoder-decoder LSTM network provides the best performance in accuracy for the given time series problems.
Databáze: OpenAIRE