Past, present, and future geographic range of an oro-Mediterranean Tertiary relict: The juniperus drupacea case study
| Autor: | Karolina Sobierajska, Bouchra Douaihy, Jean Stephan, Ali A. Dönmez, Łukasz Walas, Magda Bou Dagher-Kharrat, Adam Boratyński, Tolga Ok, Salih S. Kanoğlu, Àngel Romo, Anna K. Jasińska |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Polish Academy of Sciences, Ministry of Science and Higher Education (Poland), Romo, Àngel, Boratyński, Adam, Romo, Àngel [0000-0001-8135-8570], Boratyński, Adam [0000-0003-0678-4304], Biyoloji |
| Rok vydání: | 2019 |
| Předmět: |
Global and Planetary Change
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences biology Ecology Range (biology) Endangered species Biodiversity Climate change 010501 environmental sciences Relict tree biology.organism_classification 01 natural sciences Environmental niche modelling Niche modelling Juniperus drupacea Geography Juniper Realized niche width Niche modeling 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
| Zdroj: | Digital.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC instname |
| ISSN: | 1436-378X 1436-3798 |
| Popis: | Juniperus drupacea is a unique relict species found in the mountains of southern Greece, southern Turkey, and western Syria and Lebanon. The aim of this study was to describe the natural range of this juniper by determining the current locations of its populations and to predict a theoretical range for the species based on current, past, and future climatic conditions. We used data from the literature, herbarium materials, and our unpublished field notes (about 500 georeferenced points in total) to determine the current natural distribution of J. drupacea (realized niche). To predict suitable conditions with the program MaxEnt, we used data from the WordClim database, which allowed estimation of the potential niche. The potential niche of J. drupacea was much wider during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and was severely restricted during the Eemian interglacial period. Depending on the climate scenario, this species could become endangered in the future due to climate changes. Considering the relatively restricted geographic range of J. drupacea and the decreasing numbers of localities where it is found, conservation strategies should be adopted to allow for preservation of its genetic and morphological diversity. The study was financially supported by the Institute of Dendrology of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Kórnik, Poland, and by the Polish Ministry of Science under grant no. NN303153037. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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