Have the England and Wales Guidelines affected sentencing severity? An Empirical analysis using a scale of severity and time-series analyses
Autor: | Jose Pina-Sánchez, Ian D. Marder, John Paul Gosling, Sara Geneletti, Elizabeth Bourgeois, Hye-In Chung |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2019 |
Předmět: |
021110 strategic
defence & security studies Social Psychology 05 social sciences Causal effect 0211 other engineering and technologies Conclusive evidence 02 engineering and technology macromolecular substances Pathology and Forensic Medicine Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous) Sentencing guidelines Scale (social sciences) 050501 criminology Thurstone scale Psychology Law Sentence 0505 law Clinical psychology |
ISSN: | 0007-0955 |
Popis: | Sentence severity has increased in England and Wales in recent years. The causes of the increase remain unclear. One possible explanation relates to the introduction of sentencing guidelines, which seem to coincide in time with the increase in sentence severity. To date, investigations of this hypothesis have been limited to simple exploratory analyses or to specific offences. We use a new scale of sentence severity—developed using Thurstone scaling and the participation of 21 magistrates— and time-series modelling to explore whether a causal effect can be attributed to seven different guidelines. We corroborate the existence of an increase in sentence severity; however, we do not find conclusive evidence pointing at the guidelines having caused it. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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