Financial Media, Price Discovery, and Merger Arbitrage
Autor: | Josef Zechner, Matthias M. M. Buehlmaier |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2020 |
Předmět: | |
Zdroj: | Review of Finance. 25(4):997-1046 |
ISSN: | 1573-692X 1572-3097 |
Popis: | Using merger announcements and applying methods from computational linguistics we find strong evidence that stock prices underreact to information in financial media. A one standard deviation increase in the media-implied probability of merger completion increases the subsequent 12-day return of a long-short merger strategy by 1.2 percentage points. Filtering out the 28% of announced deals with the lowest media-implied completion probability increases the annualized alpha from merger arbitrage by 9.3 percentage points. Our results are particularly pronounced when high-yield spreads are large and on days when only few merger deals are announced. We also document that financial media information is orthogonal to announcement day returns. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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