Long-term asset allocation, risk tolerance and market sentiment

Autor: Deniz Erdemlioglu, Robert Joliet
Přispěvatelé: Lille économie management - LEM - UMR 9221 (LEM), Université de Lille-Université catholique de Lille (UCL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université catholique de Lille (UCL)-Université de Lille-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Lille économie management - UMR 9221 (LEM), Université d'Artois (UA)-Université catholique de Lille (UCL)-Université de Lille-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, 2019, 62, pp.1-19. ⟨10.1016/j.intfin.2019.04.004⟩
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2019, 62, pp.1-19. ⟨10.1016/j.intfin.2019.04.004⟩
ISSN: 1042-4431
DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2019.04.004⟩
Popis: International audience; This paper studies optimal equity portfolios with long-term horizon under heterogeneous risk aversion levels. We focus on European stocks and empirically show that contemporaneous excess returns of semi-active strategies are negatively associated with market conditions and sentiment. Consistent with our long-horizon perspective, we find that the effects of sentiment measures on semi-active portfolio returns are sizeable and economically relevant, particularly in bull (post-crisis) periods, even after controlling for the five Fama-French factors, momentum, macro indicators and political uncertainty shocks either globally or country-wise. By contrast, the effects of sentiment measures on the passive (benchmark) portfolio appear to be negligible. The results further indicate that realized portfolio returns generated from our long-term strategies are considerably resilient to the episodes of flight-to-safety (risk-off) regimes.
Databáze: OpenAIRE