Using dynamic vegetation models to simulate plant range shifts

Autor: Björn Reineking, Natalie Zurbriggen, Heike Lischke, Marc Scherstjanoi, Dominique Gravel, Alvaro G. Gutiérrez, Harald Bugmann, Thomas Hickler, Steven I. Higgins, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Rebecca S. Snell, Justin M. J. Travis, Andreas Huth, Greta Bocedi
Přispěvatelé: ETHZ ZURICH CHE, Partenaires IRSTEA, Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)-Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA), UFZ HELMHOLTZ CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LEIPZIG DEU, WSL BIRMENSDORF CHE, UNIVERSITY OF ABERDEEN GBR, UNIVERSITE DU QUEBEC RIMOUSKI CAN, UNIVERSIDAD AUSTRAL DE CHILE VALDIVIA CHL, BIK F BIODIVERSITY AND CLIMATE RESEARCH CENTRE FRANKFURT DEU, GOETHE UNIVERSITY FRANKFURT DEU, University of Otago [Dunedin, Nouvelle-Zélande], Ecosystèmes montagnards (UR EMGR), Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA), University of Bayreuth
Rok vydání: 2014
Předmět:
Zdroj: Ecography
Ecography, Wiley, 2014, 37 (12), pp.1184-1197. ⟨10.1111/ecog.00580⟩
Ecography, 37 (12)
ISSN: 0906-7590
1600-0587
DOI: 10.1111/ecog.00580⟩
Popis: Dynamic vegetation models (DVMs) follow a process‐based approach to simulate plant population demography, and have been used to address questions about disturbances, plant succession, community composition, and provisioning of ecosystem services under climate change scenarios. Despite their potential, they have seldom been used for studying species range dynamics explicitly. In this perspective paper, we make the case that DVMs should be used to this end and can improve our understanding of the factors that influence species range expansions and contractions. We review the benefits of using process‐based, dynamic models, emphasizing how DVMs can be applied specifically to questions about species range dynamics. Subsequently, we provide a critical evaluation of some of the limitations and trade‐offs associated with DVMs, and we use those to guide our discussions about future model development. This includes a discussion on which processes are lacking, specifically a mechanistic representation of dispersal, inclusion of the seedling stage, trait variability, and a dynamic representation of reproduction. We also discuss upscaling techniques that offer promising solutions for being able to run these models efficiently over large spatial extents. Our aim is to provide directions for future research efforts and to illustrate the value of the DVM approach. ISSN:0906-7590 ISSN:1600-0587
Databáze: OpenAIRE