Earthquakes, Religion, and Transition to Self-Government in Italian Cities

Autor: Marianna Belloc, Francesco Drago, Roberto Galbiati
Přispěvatelé: Università degli Studi di Roma 'La Sapienza' = Sapienza University [Rome], Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II, Département d'économie (Sciences Po) (ECON), Sciences Po (Sciences Po)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
religious preferences
Economics and Econometrics
Economic growth
JEL: D - Microeconomics/D.D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making/D.D7.D72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking
Lobbying
Elections
Legislatures
and Voting Behavior

jel:Z12
institutional change
Population
Autocracy
JEL: D - Microeconomics/D.D0 - General/D.D0.D02 - Institutions: Design
Formation
Operations
and Impact

JEL: Z - Other Special Topics/Z.Z1 - Cultural Economics • Economic Sociology • Economic Anthropology/Z.Z1.Z12 - Religion
jel:D02
Social order
Politics
JEL: D - Microeconomics/D.D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making/D.D7.D74 - Conflict • Conflict Resolution • Alliances • Revolutions
0502 economics and business
050602 political science & public administration
Economics
Earthquakes
JEL: P - Economic Systems/P.P1 - Capitalist Systems/P.P1.P16 - Political Economy
050207 economics
education
Outrage
education.field_of_study
Government
[SHS.SOCIO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Sociology
050208 finance
Self-Government
Interpretation (philosophy)
jel:D74
05 social sciences
jel:D72
[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance
Italian cities
natural disasters
0506 political science
Religion
Shock (economics)
Political economy
jel:P16
Zdroj: The, 131(4), 1875-1926 (2016-07)
Quarterly Journal of Economics
Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press (OUP), 2016, 131 (4), pp.1875-1926. ⟨10.1093/qje/qjw020⟩
ISSN: 1556-5068
0033-5533
1531-4650
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2692532
Popis: This article presents a unique historical experiment to explore the dynamics of institutional change in the Middle Ages. We have assembled a novel data set, where information on political institutions for northern central Italian cities between 1000 and 1300 is matched with detailed information on the earthquakes that occurred in the area and period of interest. Exploiting the panel structure of the data, we document that the occurrence of an earthquake retarded institutional transition from autocratic regimes to self-government (the commune) in cities where the political and the religious leaders were the same person (episcopal see cities), but not in cities where political and religious powers were distinct (non–episcopal see cities). Such differential effect holds for destructive seismic episodes and for events that were felt by the population but did not cause any material damage to persons or objects. Ancillary results show that seismic events provoked a positive and statistically significant differential effect on the construction and further ornamentation of religious buildings between episcopal and non–episcopal see cities. Our findings are consistent with the idea that earthquakes, interpreted in the Middle Ages as manifestation of the will and outrage of God, represented a shock to people’s religious beliefs and, as a consequence, enhanced the ability of political-religious leaders to restore social order after a crisis relative to the emerging communal institutions. This interpretation is supported by historical evidence.
Databáze: OpenAIRE