Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections

Autor: Gordon Dahl, Runjing Lu, William Mullins
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: American Economic Review: Insights. 4:473-490
ISSN: 2640-2068
2640-205X
Popis: Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic counties, a shift amounting to 1.2–2.2 percent of the national fertility rate. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical Whites. (JEL D72, J13)
Databáze: OpenAIRE