Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections
Autor: | Gordon Dahl, Runjing Lu, William Mullins |
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Rok vydání: | 2022 |
Předmět: |
History
Polymers and Plastics bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics|Health Economics SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics|Political Economy SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics|Political Economy Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics|Labor Economics bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics|Health Economics General Earth and Planetary Sciences SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences Business and International Management SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics|Labor Economics General Environmental Science |
Zdroj: | American Economic Review: Insights. 4:473-490 |
ISSN: | 2640-2068 2640-205X |
Popis: | Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic counties, a shift amounting to 1.2–2.2 percent of the national fertility rate. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical Whites. (JEL D72, J13) |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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