An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw
| Autor: | Joaquín Siebert, Mario Guajardo, Guillermo Durán, Denis Sauré, Sebastián Cea, Gonzalo Andres Zamorano |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2019 |
| Předmět: |
Computer science
Matemáticas 0211 other engineering and technologies RANKING General Decision Sciences 02 engineering and technology Football Management Science and Operations Research Machine learning computer.software_genre OR IN SPORTS ANALYTICS 021103 operations research Series (mathematics) Group (mathematics) business.industry Rank (computer programming) Matemática Aplicada FOOTBALL Ranking Analytics Initial phase FIFA WORLD CUP Artificial intelligence business computer CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s10479-019-03261-8 |
| Popis: | This paper analyzes the procedure used by FIFA up until 2018 to rank national football teams and define by random draw the groups for the initial phase of the World Cup finals. A predictive model is calibrated to form a reference ranking to evaluate the performance of a series of simple changes to that procedure. These proposed modifications are guided by a qualitative and statistical analysis of the FIFA ranking. We then analyze the use of this ranking to determine the groups for the World Cup finals. After enumerating a series of deficiencies in the group assignments for the 2014 World Cup, a mixed integer linear programming model is developed and used to balance the difficulty levels of the groups. Fil: Cea, Sebastián. Universidad de Chile; Chile Fil: Duran, Guillermo Alfredo. Universidad de Chile; Chile. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Calculo. - Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Calculo; Argentina Fil: Guajardo, Mario. Nhh Norwegian School Of Economics, Noruega; Noruega Fil: Sauré, Denis. Universidad de Chile; Chile Fil: Siebert, Joaquín. Universidad de Chile; Chile Fil: Zamorano, Gonzalo. Universidad de Chile; Chile |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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