Growing fiscal risk in European Union resulting from government contingent liabilities in the pandemic crisis – assessment and policy recommendations

Autor: Kamilla Marchewka-Bartkowiak, Dan Gabriel Anghel, Iustina Alina Boitan
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Ekonomska Istraživanja, Vol 0, Iss 0, Pp 1-21 (2021)
Economic research-Ekonomska istraživanja
Volume 35
Issue 1
ISSN: 1848-9664
1331-677X
Popis: The pandemic crisis, responsible for increased levels of financing with public debt and contingent liabilities, may trigger another debt crisis across the European Union. Our research indicates that member states are increasingly willing to use public guarantees and other off-budget instruments, which are classified as "hidden debt" or "hidden expenditure". Simulations have shown that if public guarantees have to be covered by the budget, an unprecedented increase in a public debt may occur across the euro area countries and the entire EU as a whole. Therefore, the authors recommend the introduction of uniform rules for estimating fiscal risk due to contingent liabilities, as well as standards for their reporting, allowing for their constant monitoring at the EU level.
Databáze: OpenAIRE