Validation of a score chart to predict the risk of chronic mesenteric ischemia and development of an updated score chart
Autor: | Dijk, L.J.D. van, Noord, D. van, Geelkerken, R.H., Harki, J., Berendsen, S.A., Vries, A.C. de, Moelker, A., Vergouwe, Y., Verhagen, H.J.M., Kolkman, J.J., Bruno, M.J., Balm, R., Borst, G.J. de, Blauw, J.T., Bakker, O.J., Buscher, H.C.J.L., Fioole, B., Hamming, J.F., Heuvel, D.A.F. van den, Hattum, E.S. van, Hinnen, J.W., Laan, M.J. van der, Lenaerts, K., Peppelenbosch, M.P., Petersen, A.S. van, Rijnja, P., Schaar, P.J. van der, Terlouw, L.G., Vries, J.P.P.M. de, Vroegindeweij, D., Dutch Mesenteric Ischemia Study Gr |
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Přispěvatelé: | Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Radiology & Nuclear Medicine, Public Health, Surgery, Robotics and image-guided minimally-invasive surgery (ROBOTICS), RS: NUTRIM - R2 - Liver and digestive health, Multi-Modality Medical Imaging |
Rok vydání: | 2019 |
Předmět: |
Male
Vasodilator Agents Constriction Pathologic DUPLEX ULTRASOUND Cohort Studies 0302 clinical medicine Symptom relief Celiac artery celiac artery Prospective Studies Prospective cohort study median arcuate ligament syndrome chronic mesenteric ischemia Aged 80 and over GASTRIC EXERCISE TONOMETRY Gastroenterology Angiography superior mesenteric artery Middle Aged Mesenteric Arteries prediction model Oncology Cardiovascular Diseases 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis Female 030211 gastroenterology & hepatology Median arcuate ligament syndrome VISIBLE-LIGHT SPECTROSCOPY CT Adult medicine.medical_specialty computed tomography magnetic resonance angiography chemical and pharmacologic phenomena DIAGNOSIS Risk Assessment complex mixtures CHRONIC GASTROINTESTINAL ISCHEMIA 03 medical and health sciences Sex Factors Chart Mesenteric Artery Superior Internal medicine medicine.artery Weight Loss medicine MANAGEMENT Humans Aged business.industry Original Articles medicine.disease Stenosis Chronic mesenteric ischemia Mesenteric Ischemia Chronic Disease atherosclerosis Intermediate risk business |
Zdroj: | United European Gastroenterology Journal, 7(9), 1261-1270. SAGE Publishing United European Gastroenterology Journal, 7(9), 1261-1270. SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC United European Gastroenterology Journal, 7(9), 1261-1270. SAGE Publications Inc. United European gastroenterology journal, 7(9), 1261-1270. Sage United European Gastroenterology Journal |
ISSN: | 2050-6406 |
Popis: | Background and objective: The objective of this article is to externally validate and update a recently published score chart for chronic mesenteric ischemia (CMI). Methods: A multicenter prospective cohort analysis was conducted of 666 CMI-suspected patients referred to two Dutch specialized CMI centers. Multidisciplinary consultation resulted in expert-based consensus diagnosis after which CMI consensus patients were treated. A definitive diagnosis of CMI was established if successful treatment resulted in durable symptom relief. The absolute CMI risk was calculated and discriminative ability of the original chart was assessed by the c-statistic in the validation cohort. Thereafter the original score chart was updated based on the performance in the combined original and validation cohort with inclusion of celiac artery (CA) stenosis cause. Results: In 8% of low-risk patients, 39% of intermediate-risk patients and 94% of high-risk patients of the validation cohort, CMI was diagnosed. Discriminative ability of the original model was acceptable (c-statistic 0.79). The total score of the updated chart ranged from 0 to 28 points (low risk 19% absolute CMI risk, intermediate risk 45%, and high risk 92%). The discriminative ability of the updated chart was slightly better (c-statistic 0.80). Conclusion: The CMI prediction model performs and discriminates well in the validation cohort. The updated score chart has excellent discriminative ability and is useful in clinical decision making. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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