How climate affects extreme events and hence ecological population models
| Autor: | Shripad Tuljapurkar, Diana Rypkema, Carol C. Horvitz |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2019 |
| Předmět: |
0106 biological sciences
Ecology Climate Change 010604 marine biology & hydrobiology Population Dynamics Climate change Storm Understory 010603 evolutionary biology 01 natural sciences Population model Florida Generalized extreme value distribution Spatial ecology Environmental science Population growth sense organs Ecosystem Ecology Evolution Behavior and Systematics Downscaling |
| Zdroj: | Ecology. :e02684 |
| ISSN: | 1939-9170 0012-9658 |
| DOI: | 10.1002/ecy.2684 |
| Popis: | Extreme events significantly impact ecosystems and are predicted to increase in frequency and/or magnitude with climate change. Generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions describe most ecologically relevant extreme events, including hurricanes, wildfires, and disease spread. In climate science, the GEV is widely used as an accurate and flexible tool over large spatial scales (>105 km2 ) to study how changes in climate shift extreme events. However, ecologists rarely use the GEV to study how climate change affects populations. Here we show how to estimate a GEV for hurricanes at an ecologically relevant ( |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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