Impact of future land use change on large carnivores connectivity in the Polish Carpathians
Autor: | Bronwyn Price, Marcin Szwagrzyk, Jacek Kozak, Elżbieta Ziółkowska, Dominik Kaim |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2019 |
Předmět: |
0106 biological sciences
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences Wildlife corridor settlement development 010603 evolutionary biology 01 natural sciences Human settlement Land use land-use change and forestry Spatial planning land use scenarios 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Nature and Landscape Conservation Global and Planetary Change Ecology Land use business.industry Environmental resource management land abandonment Geography Habitat Potential change habitat connectivity large mammals business the Carpathians |
Zdroj: | Land Volume 8 Issue 1 |
Popis: | The Polish Carpathians, like many mountain areas in Europe, are currently facing dynamic land use changes that will shape their future landscapes. As there are many different possible scenarios of potential change, we compared three different land use scenarios up until the year 2060 and assessed their impact on the potential habitat connectivity of two large carnivores&mdash wolf (Canis lupus) and lynx (Lynx lynx). We first analysed the main directions of change within and outside the pan-European wildlife corridor located in the western part of the Polish Carpathians. Then we calculated and compared least-cost paths among randomly selected points for each land use scenario separately. Our results showed that the main direction of change&mdash forest cover increase&mdash may positively influence habitat connectivity for both wolf and lynx. However, due to the future spread of settlements, this positive impact might be locally limited. Therefore, to realise the potential conservation opportunities resulting from on-going land use changes, adequate orientation of spatial planning towards habitat connectivity is crucial. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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