How Polling Trends Influence Compensational Coalition-Voting
| Autor: | Annika Fredén |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Proportional representation
media_common.quotation_subject compensational Political Science Statsvetenskap 05 social sciences polls ComputingMilieux_LEGALASPECTSOFCOMPUTING Relative strength 050105 experimental psychology 0506 political science Microeconomics Mixed logit Argument Order (exchange) coalitions Voting General election voting 050602 political science & public administration Economics 0501 psychology and cognitive sciences Polling proportional representation media_common |
| Popis: | Compensational voting refers to when voters cast a vote for a more extreme party than they prefer, in order to push policies closer to an ideal point. This article develops the idea of compensational voting in regard to pre-electoral coalition signals and polling trends. The argument is that a significant share of voters consider the relative strength of the parties in their preferred pre-electoral coalition, and adjust their vote choice accordingly. This is elaborated by conducting a mixed logit model over eight Swedish general elections where parties were more or less clear about their intentions to collaborate with other parties. Combining unique data from parties’ election manifestos including negative and positive quotes about other parties with polling trends and voters’ approval rating of parties, the analysis lends support to the idea that this type of coalition-oriented compensational voting occurs. Strategic Voting under Coalition Governments |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|