Dynamic Merge of the Global and Local Models for Sustainable Land Use Planning with Regard for Global Projections from GLOBIOM and Local Technical–Economic Feasibility and Resource Constraints
| Autor: | Petr Havlik, S. Kyryzyuk, O. Borodina, Tatiana Ermolieva, Michael Obersteiner, Yuri Ermoliev, David Leclère, Aline Mosnier, Steffen Fritz, Hugo Valin |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Předmět: |
021103 operations research
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences General Computer Science Land use Computer science business.industry Environmental resource management Resource constraints 0211 other engineering and technologies Economic feasibility Biosphere Land-use planning 02 engineering and technology 15. Life on land 01 natural sciences Land use land-use change and forestry business Merge (version control) 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Downscaling |
| Popis: | In order to conduct research at required spatial resolution, we propose a model fusion involving interlinked calculations of regional projections by the global dynamic model GLOBIOM (Global Biosphere Management Model) and robust dynamic downscaling model, based on cross-entropy principle, for deriving spatially resolved projections. The proposed procedure allows incorporating data from satellite images, statistics, expert opinions, as well as data from global land use models. In numerous case studies in China and Ukraine, the approach allowed to estimate local land use and land use change projections corresponding to real trends and expectations. The disaggregated data and projections were used in national models for planning sustainable land use and agricultural development. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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