Analysis of Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining in Peru under Climate Impacts Using System Dynamics Modeling

Autor: Fatih Aranoglu, Tulay Flamand, Sebnem Duzgun
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Sustainability; Volume 14; Issue 12; Pages: 7390
ISSN: 2071-1050
DOI: 10.3390/su14127390
Popis: In this paper, we propose a system dynamics (SD) model to examine the dynamics of an informal artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM) supply chain that has interactions with the illegal gold supply chain in the Amazon rainforest region, Madre de Dios (MdD), Peru. In order to examine the system under climate impacts and validate the model, we run it under a flood scenario, which is one of the main climate impacts that causes disruption in mining activities. Our findings suggest that the dynamics of informal mines are highly affected by the illegal mercury supply, fuel supply, and availability of workers. In addition, the model under the flood scenario suggests that any external variable that could directly affect fuel and mercury supply would result in a disruption of informal and illegal gold production.
Databáze: OpenAIRE