Sources of the Incumbency (Dis)Advantage

Autor: Ciro Biderman, Scott Desposato, George Avelino Filho
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Brazilian Political Science Review v.16 n.1 2022
Brazilian Political Science Review
Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política (ABCP)
instacron:ABCP
Brazilian Political Science Review, Volume: 16, Issue: 1, Article number: e0004, Published: 15 DEC 2021
Popis: An emerging literature finds that legislators frequently suffer a negative incumbency advantage in developing countries but disagrees as to the sources of this anti-incumbent bias. We contribute to this literature by examining the case of Brazil, where the extant literature predicts a large incumbency disadvantage. Building a new methodology for OLPR which leverages both inter- and intraparty thresholds, we find, contrary to expectations, a large ‘positive’ incumbency advantage. We further exploit within-country variation and show that this advantage appears to be largest in the least developed areas. Our results suggest that previous work may be confounding country-specific factors with development levels.
Databáze: OpenAIRE