The impact of charlson comorbidity index on mortality from SARS‐CoV‐2 virus infection and A novel COVID‐19 mortality index: CoLACD

Autor: Cagri Atasoy, Berna Komurcuoglu, Ali Kadri Cirak, Günseli Balcı, Yelda Varol, Sena Ataman, Berrin Akkol, Enver Yalniz, Eda Bayramic, Gülru Polat, Sinem Ermin, Burcin Hakoglu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Journal of Clinical Practice
ISSN: 1742-1241
1368-5031
Popis: Objective The aim of this study is to find out the potential risk factors including charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score associated with death in COVID‐19 patients hospitalised because of pneumonia and try to find a novel COVID‐19 mortality score for daily use. Methods All patients diagnosed as confirmed or probable COVID‐19 pneumonia whom hospitalised in our Chest Diseases Education and Research Hospital between March 11, 2020 and May 15, 2020 were enrolled. The optimal cut‐off values, sensitivity and specificity values and odds ratios to be used in mortality prediction of the novel scoring system created from these parameters were calculated by ROC analysis according to the area under the curve and Youden index. Results Over 383 patients (n: 33 deceased, n: 350 survivors) univariate and multivariate regression analysis showed that CCI and lymphocyte ratio were prognostic factors for COVID‐19‐related mortality. Using this analysis, a novel scoring model CoLACD (CoVID‐19 Lymphocyte ratio, Age, CCI score, Dyspnoea) was established. The cut‐off value of this scoring system, which determines the mortality risk in patients, was 2.5 points with 82% sensitivity and 73% specificity (AUC = 0.802, 95% CI 0.777‐0.886, P
Databáze: OpenAIRE