IDENTIFIKASI BANJIR IMPOR KENTANG DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP HARGA DOMESTIK KENTANG DI INDONESIA

Autor:	Hadiwiyono Hadiwiyono, Muhammad Firdaus, Lukytawati Anggraeni
Rok vydání:	2018
Předmět:	Function analysis Error correction model Shock (economics) Safeguard Value (economics) Economics Variance decomposition of forecast errors Trade globalization World trade International economics
Zdroj:	JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN. 2:156-175
ISSN:	2686-2514 1979-5149
Popis:	Indonesia needed to be cautious of import surge since it has potential to influence import value and price in the era of trade globalization. The main purpose of this reasearch was to examine whether import surge occurred for horticulture commodities in Indonesia, especially for potato. The methods used for identifying occurrence of import surge was based on Special Safeguard Mechanism framework of World Trade Organization which will strengthened with Vector Error Correction Model to analyse the impact of import surge to domestic prices. Based on Special Safeguard Mechanism framework, volume-based Special Safeguard Mechanism triggered in almost all year during 2002-2012 but price-based Special Safeguard Mechanism is not triggered in those years. Based on Impuls Response Function analysis, the impact of import surge shock to domestic price was relatively low but occurred permanently. Based on Forecast Error Variance Decomposition analysis, import surge variables contributed slightly to the domestic price variability but it tend to increased as time. Keywords: Horticulture, Potato, Special Safeguard Mechanism, Import Surge, Vector Error Correction Model
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::48506ae311ec59ca678962e0e774d361 https://doi.org/10.29244/jekp.2.2.156-175 Zobrazit plný text záznamu