Generating an agricultural risk map based on limited ecological information: A case study using Sicyos angulatus
| Autor: | Shunji Kurokawa, Takeshi Osawa, Shinichiro Ando, Shigenori Okawa |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2016 |
| Předmět: |
0106 biological sciences
Crops Agricultural Risk Current distribution Range (biology) Cost-Benefit Analysis Geography Planning and Development Geographic Mapping Plant Weeds Sicyos angulatus 010603 evolutionary biology 01 natural sciences Invasive species Japan Report Environmental Chemistry Computer Simulation biology Ecology business.industry 010604 marine biology & hydrobiology Environmental resource management Agriculture General Medicine Models Theoretical biology.organism_classification Product (business) Cucurbitaceae Geography Risk map business Weed Introduced Species Environmental Monitoring |
| Zdroj: | SC30201706140004 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s13280-016-0782-9 |
| Popis: | In this study, we propose a method for estimating the risk of agricultural damage caused by an invasive species when species-specific information is lacking. We defined the “risk” as the product of the invasion probability and the area of potentially damaged crop for production. As a case study, we estimated the risk imposed by an invasive weed, Sicyos angulatus, based on simple cellular simulations and governmental data on the area of crop that could potentially be damaged in Miyagi Prefecture, Japan. Simulation results revealed that the current distribution range was sufficiently accurate for practical purposes. Using these results and records of crop areas, we present risk maps for S. angulatus in agricultural fields. Managers will be able to use these maps to rapidly establish a management plan with minimal cost. Our approach will be valuable for establishing a management plan before or during the early stages of invasion. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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