Specifics of taking into account the nonlinear dynamics of world development in socio-political forecasts

Autor: Oleshko Oleh, Ivan Ablazov, Mykola Chomik
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
ISSN: 1989-2004
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4394212
Popis: The article is concerned with the study of the project of civilizational development of Ukraine in the context of modern social and political changes. Noticed that civilizational choice of Ukraine especially acute at the stage of transition of world society to the post-industrial phase of its development. Underscored that the roots of the Ukrainian ethnos lead to the Trypillia civilization and simultaneously the Ukrainian local civilization has the features of a border civilization. The conducted research allows determining the civilization project of Ukraine at the present stage, which in a new way actualizes the importance of science. It is proposed to start developing the foundations of uniting the people of Ukraine on the basis of the Code of Ethics, which should be based on the consistent ethical imperatives of the Ukrainian people on the basis of common humanistic values.
{"references":["Afonin E. A., Bandurka O. M., Martinov A. Y. (2000). Suspіl'nij rozvitok vіd Rіzdva Khristovogo [Social development from the Nativity of Christ]. Kyiv : Parlam. vid-vo, 2000. 312 p. Afonіn E. A., Martinov A. Y. (2002). Velika roztoka [Large spread]. Uzhgorod: Vid-vo Patent, 2002. 321 p. Arrigi D. (2006). Dolgij XX vek: Den'gi, vlast' i istoki nashego vremeni: [The Long 20th Century: Money, Power and the Origins of Our Time]. Moscow : Izd. dom Territoriya budushchego, 2006. 472 p. Brodel' F. (2007). Material'naya civilizaciya, ehkonomika i kapitalizm. XV-XVIII vv. [Material civilization, economy and capitalism. XV-XVIII centuries]. T. 1: Struktury povsednevnosti: vozmozhnoe i nevozmozhnoe ; per. s franc. Moscow : Ves' mir, 2007. 792 p. Cymburskij V.L. (1996). Sverkhdlinnye voennye cikly i mirovaya politika [Ultra-long military cycles and world politics]. Polis. 1996. № 3. Demin V.N. (2001). Tajny biosfery i noosfery [Secrets of the biosphere and noosphere] Moscow : Veche, 2001. 464 p. Goldstein J. (2005). The Predictive Power of Long Wave Theory, 1989-2004 / Prepare for NATO conference on Kondratieff Waves and Warfare, Covilha, Portugal. Feb. 2005. 13 p. Grigoriev L. (2020). Vremya padat', vremya podnimat'sya [Time to fall, time to rise]. Retrieved November 25, 2020 from: https://hbr-russia.ru/biznes-i-obshchestvo/ ekonomika/828994. Gumilev L.N. (1990). Ehtnogenez i biosfera Zemli [Ethnogenesis and the Earth's biosphere]. Lviv, 1990. 252 p. Huntington Samuel. (1996). The Clash of Civilizations? – Foreign Affairs, vol. 72, Summer 1993: The Remaking of World Order (NY: Simon & Schuster, 1996). Kondrat'ev N. D., Tugan-Baranovskij M. I. (1990). Istoki: voprosy istorii narodnogo khozyajstva i ehkonomicheskoj mysli [Origins: questions of the history of the national economy and economic thought]. Moscow, 1990. V. 2. 334 p. Kuz'menko V.P. (1994). Ciklichnost' social'no-politiko-ehkonomicheskikh processov i ikh prognozirovanie [Cyclicity of socio-political-economic processes and their forecasting]. Posrednik. 1994. № 66. P. 15–17. Kuzyk B.N., Yakovec Y. (2006). Civilizacii: teoriya, istoriya, dialog, budushchee [Civilizations: theory, history, dialogue, future.]. Moscow : Institut ehkonomicheskikh strategij, 2006. T. 1: Teoriya i istoriya civilizacij. 768 p. Lotman Y. M., Petrov V. M. (2007). Iskusstvometriya: Metody tochnykh nauk i semiotiki [Methods of exact sciences and semiotics]. Lviv : Izd-vo LKI, 2007. 368 p. Model'ski Dzh., Tompson U. (1992). Razvitie mirovoj ehkonomiki i mezhdunarodnaya politika [Development of the world economy and international politics]. Voprosy ehkonomiki. 1992. № 10. P. 55. Negoda T. (2020). Spokіjno: Ukraїna z dolarom po \"5\" – ce ne Ukraїna z dolarom po \"25\" [Calmly: Ukraine with a dollar at \"5\" is not Ukraine with a dollar at \"25\"]. Retrieved November 25, 2020 from: https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/ 2895885-ninisna-kriza-moze-pereversiti-krizi-1998-2008-2014-rokiv.html Pantin V. I. (2003). Cikly i volny global'noj istorii. Globalizaciya v istoricheskom izmerenii [Cycles and waves of global history. Globalization in the historical dimension]. Moscow, 2003. 276 p. Plotinskiy Y.M. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie dinamiki sotsialnyih protsessov [Mathe-matical modeling of the dynamics of social processes]. Moscow : MGU, 1992. 133 p. Shavalyuk. L. (2020). Ekonomіka: starі і novі riziki [Economy: old and new risks]. Retrieved November 25, 2020 from: https://tyzhden.ua/Economics/239592. Sokolov Y. N. (1994). Obshchaya teoriya cikla: problemy metodologii [General theory of the cycle: problems of methodology]. Materialy mezhd. konf. \"Ciklicheskie processy v prirode i obshchestve\". Stavropol', 1994. V. 1. P. 9-37. Sorokin P.A. (1993). Glavnyie tendentsii nashego vremeni [The main trends of our time]. V 4 t. Moscow : In-t sotsiol. RAN, 1993. Tojnbi A. (1990). Postizhenie istorii [Comprehension of history]. T. 1. Moscow : Progress, 1990. 485 p. Tkach, M. (2020). Patterns of development of national power: historical experience of the world states. Political Science and Security Studies Journal, 1(1), 40-48. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4256820 Tkach I.M. Conceptual principles of military and economic security of the state: monograph. Kyiv, 2018. 312 p. Voronkova T. (2020). Ciklіchnіst' svіtovogo rozvitku ta zakonomіrnostі viniknennya ekonomіchnikh kriz [Cyclical world development and patterns of economic crises]. Retrieved November 25, 2020 from: https://www.economy.nayka.com.ua/pdf/11_2019/65.pdf. Wallerstein I. (1976). World-System Perspective on the Social Sciences. British Journal of Sociology. 1976. Vol. 27. № 3. P. 347."]}
Databáze: OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz: