Cluster Individuals Based on Phenotype and Determine the Risk for Atrial Fibrillation in the PREVEND and Framingham Heart Study Populations
Autor: | Hans L. Hillege, Bastiaan Geelhoed, Rob A. Vermond, Xiaoyan Yin, Bart A. Mulder, Pim van der Harst, Michiel Rienstra, Isabelle C. Van Gelder, Emelia J. Benjamin, Joylene E. Siland |
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Přispěvatelé: | Cardiovascular Centre (CVC), Faculteit Medische Wetenschappen/UMCG, Life Course Epidemiology (LCE), Groningen Kidney Center (GKC) |
Rok vydání: | 2016 |
Předmět: |
Male
PROGNOSIS Physiology Myocardial Infarction lcsh:Medicine Blood Pressure 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology Vascular Medicine Biochemistry 0302 clinical medicine Framingham Heart Study Endocrinology Risk Factors Atrial Fibrillation Medicine and Health Sciences Cluster Analysis 030212 general & internal medicine Prospective Studies 10. No inequality Prospective cohort study lcsh:Science Netherlands Multidisciplinary Incidence (epidemiology) Incidence Atrial fibrillation Middle Aged Latent class model Phenotype Cohort Female ASSOCIATION CONSENSUS CONFERENCE Arrhythmia Cohort study Research Article Adult Endocrine Disorders Cardiology Excretion Disease cluster 03 medical and health sciences Albumins medicine Diabetes Mellitus Humans COHORT Heart Failure business.industry lcsh:R Health Risk Analysis Biology and Life Sciences Proteins medicine.disease United States Health Care Metabolic Disorders lcsh:Q business Physiological Processes LATENT CLASS ANALYSIS Demography Follow-Up Studies |
Zdroj: | PLoS ONE PLoS ONE, 11(11):e0165828. PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE PLoS ONE, Vol 11, Iss 11, p e0165828 (2016) |
ISSN: | 1932-6203 |
Popis: | BACKGROUND: Risk prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) is of importance to improve the early diagnosis and treatment of AF. Latent class analysis takes into account the possible existence of classes of individuals each with shared risk factors, and maybe a better method of incorporating the phenotypic heterogeneity underlying AF.METHODS AND FINDINGS: Two prospective community-based cohort studies from Netherlands and United States were used. Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study, started in 1997, and the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) Offspring cohort started in 1971, both with 10-years follow-up. The main objective was to determine the risk of AF using a latent class analysis, and compare the discrimination and reclassification performance with traditional regression analysis. Mean age in PREVEND was 49±13 years, 49.8% were men. During follow-up, 250(3%) individuals developed AF. We built a latent class model based on 18 risk factors. A model with 7 distinct classes (ranging from 341 to 1517 individuals) gave the optimum tradeoff between a high statistical model-likelihood and a low number of model parameters. All classes had a specific profile. The incidence of AF varied; class 1 0.0%, class 2 0.3%, class 3 7.5%, class 4 0.2%, class 5 1.3%, class 6 4.2%, class 7 21.7% (pCONCLUSIONS: Latent class analysis to build an AF risk model is feasible. Despite the heterogeneity in number and severity of risk factors between individuals at risk for AF, latent class analysis produces distinguishable groups. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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