Decreased human respiratory syncytial virus activity during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan: an ecological time-series analysis
| Autor: | Reiko Saito, Yugo Shobugawa, Iain S. Koolhof, Keita Wagatsuma |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
0301 basic medicine
medicine.medical_specialty Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) media_common.quotation_subject HRSV Infectious and parasitic diseases RC109-216 Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections Virus law.invention 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Japan Hygiene law Pandemic Medicine Humans 030212 general & internal medicine Respiratory system Time series Epidemics Pandemics media_common NPIs business.industry SARS-CoV-2 Research COVID-19 030104 developmental biology Infectious Diseases Transmission (mechanics) Respiratory Syncytial Virus Human Tropical medicine business Demography |
| Zdroj: | BMC Infectious Diseases BMC Infectious Diseases, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2021) |
| ISSN: | 1471-2334 |
| Popis: | Background Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as sanitary measures and travel restrictions, aimed at controlling the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), may affect the transmission dynamics of human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV). We aimed to quantify the contribution of the sales of hand hygiene products and the number of international and domestic airline passenger arrivals on HRSV epidemic in Japan. Methods The monthly number of HRSV cases per sentinel site (HRSV activity) in 2020 was compared with the average of the corresponding period in the previous 6 years (from January 2014 to December 2020) using a monthly paired t-test. A generalized linear gamma regression model was used to regress the time-series of the monthly HRSV activity against NPI indicators, including sale of hand hygiene products and the number of domestic and international airline passengers, while controlling for meteorological conditions (monthly average temperature and relative humidity) and seasonal variations between years (2014–2020). Results The average number of monthly HRSV case notifications in 2020 decreased by approximately 85% (p p = 0.003) decrease in HRSV infections. An increase of average 1000 domestic and international airline passenger arrivals during the previous 1–2 months was associated with a 3.8 × 10− 4% (p − 3% (p Conclusions This study suggests that there is an association between the decrease in the monthly number of HRSV cases and improved hygiene and sanitary measures and travel restrictions for COVID-19 in Japan, indicating that these public health interventions can contribute to the suppression of HRSV activity. These findings may help in public health policy and decision making. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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